River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: River Plate 2-0 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% River Plate, 25% draw, 28% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
River Plate at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41S. BeltranG
- 29G. MontielD
- 28L. Martinez QuartaD
- 30N. OtamendiD
- 3F. OrtegaD
- 6A. MorenoM
- 50T. AndradaM
- 35J. FreitasM
- 10A. CorreaM
- 23T. AlmadaM
- 18L. BeltranF
- 33E. CenturionG
- 20G. GonzalezD
- 13L. RiveroD
- 31F. GonzalezD
- 8M. ArambarriM
- 24J. MezaM
- 15Fausto VeraM
- 26T. GalvanM
- 43V. LuceroM
- 25B. CortesG
- 22K. CoronelD
- 16F. AlvarezD
- 6F. VazquezD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 10A. LescanoM
- 15K. GutierrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 8H. LopezF
- 27T. MolinaF
- 29E. ViverosF
- 50D. RodriguezG
- 26C. BravoD
- 37T. Gomez
- 30A. NunezD
- 5F. CarrizoD
- 21G. FlorentinM
- 13S. GianiniD
- 7I. MoralesF
- 9G. VeronF
Form going into River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors
River Plate
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Tigre8 August 2026
- L0-1Rosario Central2 August 2026
- L0-1away to Gimnasia La Plata29 July 2026
- L0-1Barracas Central25 July 2026
Argentinos Juniors
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Racing Club9 August 2026
- W1-0away to Belgrano Cordoba1 August 2026
- W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026
What these results say
- River Plate did not win any of these 4 matches.
- River Plate failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- River Plate conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors won every one of these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Argentinos Juniors had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors
- 13 February 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–0 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
- 25 May 2024Argentinos Juniors 1–0 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 January 2024River Plate 1–1 Argentinos JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 21 August 2023Argentinos Juniors 3–2 River PlateCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 12 February 2023River Plate 2–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 October 2022Argentinos Juniors 0–3 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: River Plate and Argentinos Juniors
River Plate
GoalsAssists
- T. Galván74
Argentinos Juniors
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
River Plate beat Argentinos Juniors 2–0. The model had made a win for River Plate its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Montiel 37' for River Plate, A. Correa (penalty) 89' for River Plate. On expected goals it finished 1.58–0.70.