Barracas Central vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Barracas Central 0-1 Rosario Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Barracas Central, 24% draw, 28% Rosario Central — fair odds of 2.08, 4.17 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Barracas Central at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Barracas Central vs Rosario Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30M. MinoG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 14K. JappertD
- 32F. TobioD
- 37G. CampiD
- 6R. InsuaD
- 8T. PorraM
- 35E. RolonM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 77F. BrueraF
- 33G. MaroniF
- 1J. EspinolaG
- 2N. CapraroD
- 17E. PereyraD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 79M. PuigM
- 18M. DuarteM
- 5D. MilocM
- 28R. BogarinM
- 24E. TabordaF
- 1A. WernerG
- 24J. GimenezD
- 15F. Mallo BlancoD
- 2S. ZarachoD
- 42E. VeronM
- 28P. FernandezM
- 20V. PizarroM
- 33A. SotoM
- 88A. RodriguezF
- 16T. BadaloniF
- 18J. FernandezF
- 23C. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 47L. RaffinD
- 35L. RamosD
- 7M. CabreraF
- 36A. GuichD
- 19S. SegoviaM
- 55F. CarniceroD
- 39F. OviedoF
Form going into Barracas Central vs Rosario Central
Barracas Central
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Gimnasia La Plata9 August 2026
- W1-0away to Deportivo Riestra2 August 2026
- W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026
- W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026
Rosario Central
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Aldosivi7 August 2026
- W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
- D0-0Racing Club29 July 2026
- L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba23 July 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Barracas Central had two goals or fewer.
- Barracas Central won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Barracas Central scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Rosario Central scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Rosario Central
- 16 February 2026Rosario Central 2–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 November 2024Rosario Central 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 July 2024Rosario Central 0–1 Barracas CentralCopa Argentina
- 28 March 2024Rosario Central 1–2 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 6 November 2023Barracas Central 1–1 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 9 June 2023Barracas Central 0–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Barracas Central and Rosario Central
Barracas Central
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María115
- G. Ávila73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rosario Central won 1–0 at Barracas Central. The model had leaned towards a win for Barracas Central at 48% and given a win for Rosario Central 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: A. Rodriguez 39' for Rosario Central. On expected goals it finished 1.78–0.58.