16 August 2026, 00:15 UTC

Platense vs Boca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Buenos Aires
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Platense 1-1 Boca Juniors.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Platense, 19% draw, 68% Boca Juniors — fair odds of 7.69, 5.26 and 1.47.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Boca Juniors at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Platense2%Draw91%Boca Juniors7%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

T. Silva
17'
46'
🔁M. Pellegrinoout: A. Costa
46'
🔁L. Paredesout: Miguel Merentiel
⚽K. Retamar
53'
🔁T. Silvaout: S. Quiros
65'
🔁G. Maineroout: B. Merlini
65'
🔁G. Togniout: F. Minerva
65'
68'
M. Delgado
70'
🔁L. Lozanoout: D. Gorosito
•L. Gimenez
71'
74'
🔁S. Villaout: A. Velasco
🔁L. Gimenezout: G. Lencina
75'
80'
⚽Miguel Merentielassist: S. Ascacibar
84'
S. Ascacibar
🔁I. Gomezout: P. Ferreira
84'

Line-ups

Platense
  • 30J. Cozzani
  • 4A. Lagos
  • 13I. Vazquez
  • 34M. Mendia
  • 3T. Silva
  • 5I. Gomez
  • 24M. Barrios
  • 7G. Mainero
  • 43K. Retamar
  • 16G. Togni
  • 20L. Gimenez
Substitutes
  • 22N. Sumavil
  • 31Victor Cuesta
  • 25J. Saborido
  • 32S. Quiros
  • 10F. Zapiola
  • 26P. Ferreira
  • 17F. Bussio
  • 18B. Merlini
  • 99G. Lencina
Coach: Martin Palermo
Boca Juniors
  • 1A. Montero
  • 17L. Lozano
  • 2L. Di Lollo
  • 26M. Pellegrino
  • 3L. Blanco
  • 25S. Ascacibar
  • 5L. Paredes
  • 18M. Delgado
  • 19L. Flores
  • 10T. Aranda
  • 22S. Villa
Substitutes
  • 12L. Brey
  • 4J. Figal
  • 32A. Costa
  • 24D. Gorosito
  • 8T. Belmonte
  • 21K. Zenon
  • 27M. Braida
  • 7Carlos Palacios
  • 23C. Rey Domenech
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Form going into Platense vs Boca Juniors

Platense

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Independiente9 August 2026
  • L0-4Talleres Cordoba3 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba30 July 2026
  • D2-2Union Santa Fe25 July 2026

Boca Juniors

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Velez Sarsfield8 August 2026
  • W1-0Estudiantes La Plata5 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Newell's Old Boys2 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Deportivo Riestra26 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Platense165561820-220
2Boca Juniors169612414+1033

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Platense vs Boca Juniors

  • 15 February 2026Boca Juniors 0–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 June 2024Platense 1–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 January 2024Platense 0–0 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 19 August 2023Boca Juniors 3–1 PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 19 February 2023Boca Juniors 3–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 August 2022Boca Juniors 2–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Platense vs Boca Juniors record →

Leading scorers: Platense and Boca Juniors

Platense

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Boca Juniors

GoalsAssists

  • M. Merentiel92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Platense and Boca Juniors drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Boca Juniors at 68% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: K. Retamar 53' for Platense, Miguel Merentiel 80' for Boca Juniors.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.