16 August 2026, 23:15 UTC

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1 Instituto Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 23% draw, 54% Instituto Cordoba — fair odds of 4.35, 4.35 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Instituto Cordoba at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Central Cordoba de Santiago0%Draw4%Instituto Cordoba96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
Jonathan Galván
🔁L. Gonzalezout: M. Iacobellis
46'
🔁H. Tijanovichout: L. Sequeira
46'
51'
Fernando Alarcón
🔁S. Moyanoout: J. Flores
61'
64'
🔁J. Galvanout: A. Massaccesi
64'
🔁M. Tisseraout: F. Suarez
65'
🔁J. E. Cordoba Mosqueraout: J. Lazaro
77'
🔁A. Lunaout: J. Acevedo
89'
⚽F. Suarez
Alejandro Maciel
90+1'

Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba

52%Possession48%
7Shots13
1On target6
4Corners8
0.56xG1.49

Goals against chances

Central Cordoba de Santiago0 from 0.56 xGless than the chances were worth
Instituto Cordoba1 from 1.49 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Central Cordoba de Santiago 3-4-1-2
  • 1A. AguerreG
  • 33S. MoyanoD
  • 17Y. CasermeiroD
  • 2A. R. MacielD
  • 20F. MartinezM
  • 22M. VeraM
  • 11H. TijanovichM
  • 23D. CaceresM
  • 18L. GonzalezF
  • 27M. SantosF
  • 7D. BarreraF
Substitutes
  • 25J. VallejosG
  • 13J. GomezD
  • 3L. MarchiD
  • 32N. GarridoD
  • 10M. IacobellisM
  • 5T. CraveroM
  • 55J. CardozoM
  • 37A. LapridaF
  • 19E. NayaF
Coach: Sebastian Dominguez
Instituto Cordoba 3-4-3
  • 29M. LedesmaG
  • 30J. GalvanD
  • 26L. MosevichD
  • 6F. R. AlarconD
  • 44G. CeratoM
  • 55G. AbreguM
  • 15M. GallardoM
  • 3D. SosaM
  • 20J. E. Cordoba MosqueraF
  • 17M. TisseraF
  • 10A. LunaF
Substitutes
  • 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
  • 2H. De La FuenteD
  • 22A. MassaccesiD
  • 32A. BravoD
  • 23A. MeliD
  • 21J. LazaroM
  • 90P. BasterM
  • 8J. AcevedoM
  • 14W. VieraM
Coach: Diego Flores

Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba

Central Cordoba de Santiago

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Union Santa Fe11 August 2026
  • W1-0San Lorenzo4 August 2026
  • L0-2Atletico Tucuman31 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026

Instituto Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza9 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Lanus3 August 2026
  • W2-1Platense30 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Central Cordoba de Santiago162591226-1411
1Instituto Cordoba1610422615+1134

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba

  • 16 February 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 13 September 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 April 2023Instituto Cordoba 0–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 March 2019Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–3 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional

The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba record →

Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Instituto Cordoba

Central Cordoba de Santiago

GoalsAssists

  • M. Santos92

Instituto Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Instituto Cordoba won 1–0 at Central Cordoba de Santiago. The model had made a win for Instituto Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: F. Suarez 89' for Instituto Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 0.56–1.49.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.