Santa Clara vs Famalicao Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Santa Clara 1-0 Famalicao.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Santa Clara, 25% draw, 18% Famalicao — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Santa Clara at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Santa Clara vs Famalicao
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas FrancaG
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 4P. PachecoD
- 21E. FernandesD
- 5Guilherme RomaoD
- 6P. FerreiraM
- 8J. TavaresM
- 99SorrisoM
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 70Vinicius LopesM
- 9G. PacienciaF
- 12NenecaG
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 20T. RibeiroM
- 3H. SilvaD
- 37RildoF
- 22VitinhoM
- 25F. MedeirosF
- 73Leo JacoF
- 11Welinton TorraoF
- 25L. CarevicG
- 17R. PinheiroD
- 3L. RealpeD
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 28Pedro BondoD
- 6T. Van de LooiM
- 14M. De AmorimM
- 23Gil DiasM
- 10P. SantosM
- 7SorrisoM
- 70G. KoutsiasF
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 22Gabriel CabralG
- 2GarciaD
- 30V. Serafimovic
- 36M. MattaraD
- 19P. MoreiraM
- 8M. PenaM
- 24M. JangealM
- 21T. Szucs
Form going into Santa Clara vs Famalicao
Santa Clara
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Academico Viseu15 August 2026
- D2-2Nacional10 August 2026
Famalicao
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Maritimo16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Estoril7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Santa Clara vs Famalicao
- 18 January 2026Santa Clara 0–1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
- 10 August 2025Famalicao 3–0 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- 10 May 2025Santa Clara 2–1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
- 30 December 2024Famalicao 1–2 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- 24 November 2024Famalicao 0–1 Santa ClaraTaça de Portugal
Leading scorers: Santa Clara and Famalicao
Santa Clara
GoalsAssists
- Gonçalo Paciência51
Famalicao
GoalsAssists
- G. Koutsias50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Santa Clara beat Famalicao 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Santa Clara at 57%. The goal: G. Paciencia 22' for Santa Clara. On expected goals it finished 1.36–1.05.