Getafe vs Racing Santander La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Racing Santander.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Getafe, 26% draw, 47% Racing Santander — fair odds of 3.70, 3.85 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Racing Santander at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Getafe vs Racing Santander
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13D. SoriaG
- 4S. SazonovD
- 2DjeneD
- 24Z. RomeroD
- 21A. GarciaM
- 11R. TerratsM
- 23O. MangalaM
- 16FranchoM
- 22J. MojicaM
- 19E. UnalF
- 10M. SatrianoF
- 1J. LetacekG
- 35D. FerrerG
- 5A. AbqarD
- 3DavinchiD
- 26J. ValouD
- 15S. BoselliD
- 29F. Burgos
- 28A. R. AlcantaraM
- 30O. Lopez
- 13J. AgirrezabalaG
- 2A. MantillaD
- 4ManuD
- 5P. RamonD
- 17J. SalinasD
- 36S. Martinez
- 8G. PuertaM
- 11A. MartinM
- 20S. CanalesM
- 10I. VicenteM
- 12A. VillalibreF
- 1S. ErikssonG
- 16F. GonzalezD
- 30C. SanchezD
- 34D. DiazM
- 6I. Sainz-MazaM
- 23I. MartinM
- 14M. GueyeM
- 29A. VallecilloM
- 33J. CastellanosM
Form going into Getafe vs Racing Santander
Getafe
All competitions we cover
- W3-1FK Partizan20 August 2026
- L0-3away to Alaves15 August 2026
Racing Santander
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Villarreal16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Getafe vs Racing Santander
- 1 May 2012Getafe 1–1 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- 21 January 2012Racing Santander 1–2 GetafeLa Liga
- 20 February 2011Getafe 0–1 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- 26 September 2010Racing Santander 0–1 GetafeLa Liga
Leading scorers: Getafe and Racing Santander
Getafe
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Racing Santander
GoalsAssists
- M. Zabiri90
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Getafe beat Racing Santander 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Racing Santander at 47% and given a win for Getafe 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: E. Unal 81' for Getafe. On expected goals it finished 1.22–1.00.