14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Reims vs Dunkerque Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Reims 3-3 Dunkerque.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% Reims, 11% draw, 12% Dunkerque — fair odds of 1.30, 9.09 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 4-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Reims at 77%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Reims92%Draw8%Dunkerque0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

36'
⚽A. Lebeauassist: M. Decherf
⚽M. Tiaassist: D. Guindo
42'
🔁M. Daramyout: A. Gadou
46'
⚽Y. Fofanaassist: A. Kashi
49'
52'
Allan Linguet
⚽Y. Fofanaassist: A. Gadou
55'
60'
🔁V. Mayelaout: L. Vallier
60'
🔁M. Decherfout: T. Massock
61'
🔁E. Prutsevout: S. Keita
61'
🔁A. Dahoout: K. Ayari
🔁S. Soumanoout: T. Diarrassouba
62'
🔁A. Kashiout: Y. El Kachati
62'
Daouda Guindo
63'
72'
⚽S. Keitaassist: T. Robinet
Armel Zohouri
74'
🔁Y. Fofanaout: J. Mambuku
76'
76'
🔁J. Morelout: E. Mayilla
77'
Khalil Ayari
Samuel Kotto
85'
85'
Thomas Robinet
🔁M. Tiaout: J. Otomewo
87'
90+4'
Souleymane Keita
90'
⚽T. Robinet (pen)

Match stats — Reims vs Dunkerque

40%Possession60%
9Shots16
4On target9
2Corners8

Line-ups

Reims 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. HulsmannG
  • 63A. ZohouriD
  • 28ElieD
  • 22S. KottoD
  • 27D. GuindoD
  • 87M. TiaM
  • 6T. LeoniM
  • 62A. KashiM
  • 8Y. FofanaM
  • 9M. DaramyM
  • 99S. SoumanoF
Substitutes
  • 12E. OmeragicG
  • 21J. MambukuD
  • 44M. Okwaro
  • 5J. OtomewoD
  • 7T. DiarrassoubaF
  • 10Y. El KachatiF
  • 77Q. ParisF
  • 48A. GadouF
Coach: Nicolas Usai
Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
  • 16M. PrevotG
  • 27A. LinguetD
  • 26O. SanganteD
  • 4B. LagaeD
  • 22V. MayelaD
  • 6J. MorelM
  • 29M. DecherfM
  • 93A. DahoM
  • 10A. LebeauM
  • 11E. PrutsevM
  • 9T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 73MohaG
  • 24L. VallierD
  • 21L. Dziki LoussilahoD
  • 18T. MassockM
  • 19S. KeitaM
  • 25F. AtoenM
  • 7K. AyariF
  • 94E. MayillaF
  • 17P. M. DiengM
Coach: Albert Sanchez

Form going into Reims vs Dunkerque

Reims

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Clermont Foot8 August 2026

Dunkerque

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2Grenoble8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Reims125612415+921
10Dunkerque124351717015

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Reims vs Dunkerque

  • 9 March 2026Dunkerque 1–1 ReimsLigue 2
  • 1 November 2025Reims 1–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 18 July 2020Reims 2–2 DunkerqueFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Reims and Dunkerque

Reims

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Fofana112

Dunkerque

GoalsAssists

  • E. Prutsev32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Reims and Dunkerque drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Reims at 77% and given a draw 11%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 9 matches like this one. The goals: A. Lebeau 36' for Dunkerque, M. Tia 42' for Reims, Y. Fofana 49' for Reims, Y. Fofana 55' for Reims, S. Keita 72' for Dunkerque, T. Robinet (penalty) 90' for Dunkerque. Sent off: Armel Zohouri (Reims) 74'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.