14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Laval vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Laval 2-1 Nantes.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% Laval, 26% draw, 54% Nantes — fair odds of 5.00, 3.85 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nantes at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Laval2%Draw93%Nantes5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Francis Coquelinout: Ethan Clavreul
12'
14'
🔁Wilitty Younoussaout: Louis Leroux
⚽Trevis Dagoassist: Ethan Clavreul
17'
44'
⚽Bahereba Guirassy
62'
🔁Igniatius Ganagoout: Mathieu Cafaro
🔁Julien Maggiottiout: C. Gourichy
65'
🔁Trevis Dagoout: Mathys Houdayer
65'
82'
🔁Louis Lerouxout: Bahmed Deuff
🔁Ababacar Moustapha Loout: Mamadou Sidibé
85'
🔁Ethan Clavreulout: Yanis Court
85'
Julien Maggiotti
90'
⚽Mathys Houdayer
90+5'
🔁Malik Selloukiout: Alessio Beaudouin
90+7'

Match stats — Laval vs Nantes

41%Possession59%
9Shots17
5On target3
2Corners7

Line-ups

Laval 4-3-1-2
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 18A. LoD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 13F. CoquelinM
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 10M. SelloukiF
  • 11T. Dago
Substitutes
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 35L. SambD
  • 29M. SidibeM
  • 7C. Gourichy
  • 21A. BeaudouinD
  • 20E. ClavreulM
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 33S. MellierM
  • 31M. HoudayerF
Coach: David Vignes
Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. DupeG
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 78T. TatiD
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 12K. CorredorM
  • 8J. LepenantM
  • 23W. YounoussaM
  • 11H. GuirassyM
  • 37I. GanagoF
Substitutes
  • 16A. MirbachG
  • 4S. SowD
  • 65H. Lamy
  • 52B. DeuffM
  • 67M. GomesM
  • 69S. ZianiM
  • 19L. LerouxM
  • 20M. CafaroM
  • 47M. DaboF
Coach: Michel Der Zakarian

Form going into Laval vs Nantes

Laval

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Rodez8 August 2026

Nantes

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1RED Star FC 938 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Laval122371423-99
14Nantes123361418-412

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Laval vs Nantes

  • 12 July 2025Nantes 2–0 LavalFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 August 2024Laval 1–2 NantesFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 January 2024Nantes 0–1 LavalCoupe de France
  • 15 July 2023Nantes 0–3 LavalFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 December 2022Nantes 1–1 LavalFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 October 2014Nantes 4–0 LavalCoupe de la Ligue

Leading scorers: Laval and Nantes

Laval

GoalsAssists

  • M. Houdayer40

Nantes

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Laval beat Nantes 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Nantes at 54% and given a win for Laval 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Trevis Dago 17' for Laval, Bahereba Guirassy 44' for Nantes, Mathys Houdayer 90+5' for Laval.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.