14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Nancy vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Nancy 0-1 Montpellier.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Nancy, 29% draw, 32% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nancy at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nancy0%Draw4%Montpellier96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nehemiah Fernandez
35'
43'
Daylam Meddah
57'
Théo Sainte-Luce
63'
🔁D. Meddahout: G. Ayem
63'
🔁N. Mukieleout: Y. Issoufou
🔁M. Fofanaout: C. El Hansar
67'
68'
Gregory Ayem
72'
⚽Y. Issoufouassist: L. Megnan-Pave
🔁H. Tavaresout: T. Balde
77'
🔁B. Bokanguout: N. Obougou
77'
80'
🔁N. Vidal-Cartouxout: D. Benlahlou
🔁K. Kebeout: N. Kandil
84'
Enzo Tacafred
90+2'
90+2'
Yael Mouanga
90+1'
Laciné Megnan-Pave
90+3'
🔁T. Sainte-Luceout: N. El Hannach
90+3'
🔁L. Megnan-Paveout: H. Abderrebi

Match stats — Nancy vs Montpellier

53%Possession47%
12Shots13
4On target4
6Corners6

Line-ups

Nancy 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 2H. TavaresD
  • 4N. FernandezD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 17M. FofanaM
  • 6K. KebeM
  • 9I. HousniM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 20B. BokanguF
Substitutes
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 19T. BaldeD
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 18H. BarbierM
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 11S. CisseF
  • 70N. KandilF
  • 29N. ObougouF
Coach: Oswald Tanchot
Montpellier 4-3-3
  • 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
  • 29E. TchatoD
  • 15J. LaporteD
  • 6Y. MouangaD
  • 17T. Sainte-LuceD
  • 44T. ChennahiM
  • 27D. MeddahM
  • 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
  • 18N. PaysF
  • 9L. Megnan-PaveF
  • 19N. MukieleF
Substitutes
  • 50V. DzodicG
  • 3N. El HannachD
  • 90G. AyemM
  • 77Everson JrM
  • 32H. AbderrebiM
  • 7Y. IssoufouF
  • 23D. BenlahlouF
Coach: Zoumana Camara

Form going into Nancy vs Montpellier

Nancy

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Boulogne8 August 2026

Montpellier

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Dijon8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Nancy12813179+825
3Montpellier12732189+924

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nancy vs Montpellier

  • 6 March 2026Nancy 0–3 MontpellierLigue 2
  • 25 October 2025Montpellier 4–1 NancyLigue 2
  • 30 October 2019Montpellier 3–2 NancyCoupe de la Ligue
  • 11 February 2017Nancy 0–3 MontpellierLigue 1
  • 26 November 2016Montpellier 0–0 NancyLigue 1
  • 16 February 2013Montpellier 1–0 NancyLigue 1

Leading scorers: Nancy and Montpellier

Nancy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Montpellier

GoalsAssists

  • N. Pays52
  • Lacine Megnan-Pave42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Montpellier won 1–0 at Nancy. The model had leaned towards a win for Nancy at 39% and given a win for Montpellier 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Y. Issoufou 72' for Montpellier.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.