Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Rubin 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Rubin, 27% draw, 39% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Makhachkala at 39% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Line-ups
- 38E. StaverG
- 44D. KuznetsovD
- 98N. LobovD
- 3D. MaldonadoD
- 13J. UrozovD
- 51I. RozhkovD
- 22V. HodzaM
- 14I. SaavedraM
- 77A. JukicM
- 43J. SiweF
- 11N. GripshiF
- 25A. NigmatullinG
- 86N. KoretsG
- 70D. KabutovD
- 27A. GritsaenkoD
- 12A. ArroyoD
- 2E. TeslenkoD
- 18M. IgnatievD
- 71I. SamoshnikovD
- 4K. NizhegorodovD
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 22M. AzziD
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 24A. AlarconD
- 77T. SundukovD
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 52E. SmelovM
- 16H. MrezigueF
- 25G. AgalarovF
- 1D. VolkG
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 72A. SandrachukD
- 21A. DzhabrailovM
- 9R. MagomedovM
- 19K. ZinovichM
- 11MiroF
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 30D. Aleksandrov
Form going into Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Rubin
- D1-1away to Baltika24 August 2026
Dinamo Makhachkala
- L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala
- 28 February 2026Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 RubinPremier League
- 12 September 2025Rubin 1–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 7 December 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 2–3 RubinPremier League
- 23 August 2024Rubin 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 27 May 2023Rubin 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
- 6 November 2022Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 RubinFirst League
Leading scorers: Rubin and Dinamo Makhachkala
Rubin
- A. Arroyo3 goals1 assist
- J. Siwe3 goals
Dinamo Makhachkala
- G. Agalarov5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.