Rosenborg
vs
Fredrikstad
Final score: Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Rosenborg, 20% draw, 15% Fredrikstad — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: Rosenborg 2.29, Fredrikstad 1.02.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Rosenborg had 55% possession, 23 shots (11 on target), 10 corners, 2.56 expected goals; Fredrikstad had 45% possession, 6 shots (3 on target), 3 corners, 0.56 expected goals.
Goals: Adrian Nilsen Pereira 10' for Rosenborg, Emil Konradsen Ceide 13' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha 77' for Rosenborg, Iver Fossum 88' for Rosenborg.
Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
- 27 July 2026Rosenborg 4–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 28 May 2025Fredrikstad 0–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 5 April 2025Rosenborg 1–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 27 July 2024Fredrikstad 2–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 2 June 2024Rosenborg 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 1 May 2024Fredrikstad 1–0 RosenborgNM Cupen
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rosenborg the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.29 expected goals for Rosenborg against 1.02 for Fredrikstad. Rosenborg's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.4 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.41 for Fredrikstad.