Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Rosenborg, 24% draw, 21% Fredrikstad — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rosenborg at 55% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Leopold WahlstedtG
- 22Jonas SvenssonD
- 4Mikkel Konradsen CeideD
- 21Tomáš NemčíkD
- 19Adrian Nilsen PereiraD
- 17Mads BomholtM
- 10Ole SelnaesM
- 8Iver FossumM
- 29Dávid ĎurišF
- 18Amin ChiakhaF
- 35Emil Konradsen CeideF
- 16Aslak WitryD
- 3Tobias Solheim DahlD
- 14Jesper Reitan-SundeF
- 5Håkon VoldenD
- 11Noah SahsahF
- 12Rasmus SandbergG
- 15Jonas MortensenD
- 25Johan Johanessen BakkeM
- 30Maciej SoboczynskiF
- 77Martin BorsheimG
- 5Simen RafnD
- 4Fredrik HolméD
- 12Ulrik FredriksenD
- 16Daniel EidM
- 20Oskar ØhlenschlaegerM
- 14Max NilssonM
- 19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemM
- 7Benjamin FaraasF
- 23Henrik Langaas SkogvoldF
- 10Johannes NúñezF
- 9Salim LaghzaouiM
- 29Gabriel WessehM
- 21Jakub JezierskiM
- 28Solomon OwusuD
- 26Joachim NysveenD
- 1Oystein OvretveitG
- 3Aleksander AndresenD
- 18Jonathan NorbyeD
- 24Leonard OwusuM
Form going into Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
- W3-0away to Start18 July 2026
Fredrikstad
- L0-1away to Bodo/Glimt17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 30 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
- 27 July 2026Rosenborg 4–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 28 May 2025Fredrikstad 0–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 5 April 2025Rosenborg 1–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 27 July 2024Fredrikstad 2–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 2 June 2024Rosenborg 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 1 May 2024Fredrikstad 1–0 RosenborgNM Cupen
Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
- Amin Chiakha12 goals3 assists
- E. Ceïde5 goals5 assists
Fredrikstad
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.