Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Rosenborg, 24% draw, 21% Fredrikstad — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rosenborg at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Leopold WahlstedtG
- 22Jonas SvenssonD
- 4Mikkel Konradsen CeideD
- 21Tomáš NemčíkD
- 19Adrian Nilsen PereiraD
- 17Mads BomholtM
- 10Ole SelnaesM
- 8Iver FossumM
- 29Dávid ĎurišF
- 18Amin ChiakhaF
- 35Emil Konradsen CeideF
- 16Aslak WitryD
- 3Tobias Solheim DahlD
- 14Jesper Reitan-SundeF
- 5Håkon VoldenD
- 11Noah SahsahF
- 12Rasmus SandbergG
- 15Jonas MortensenD
- 25Johan Johanessen BakkeM
- 30Maciej SoboczynskiF
- 77Martin BorsheimG
- 5Simen RafnD
- 4Fredrik HolméD
- 12Ulrik FredriksenD
- 16Daniel EidM
- 20Oskar ØhlenschlaegerM
- 14Max NilssonM
- 19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemM
- 7Benjamin FaraasF
- 23Henrik Langaas SkogvoldF
- 10Johannes NúñezF
- 9Salim LaghzaouiM
- 29Gabriel WessehM
- 21Jakub JezierskiM
- 28Solomon OwusuD
- 26Joachim NysveenD
- 1Oystein OvretveitG
- 3Aleksander AndresenD
- 18Jonathan NorbyeD
- 24Leonard OwusuM
Form going into Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Start18 July 2026
Fredrikstad
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Bodo/Glimt17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 31 | +15 | 40 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
- 28 May 2025Fredrikstad 0–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 5 April 2025Rosenborg 1–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 27 July 2024Fredrikstad 2–2 RosenborgEliteserien
- 2 June 2024Rosenborg 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 1 May 2024Fredrikstad 1–0 RosenborgNM Cupen
Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
GoalsAssists
- Amin Chiakha154
- E. Ceïde66
Fredrikstad
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 29 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rosenborg beat Fredrikstad 4–0. The model had made a win for Rosenborg its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Adrian Nilsen Pereira 10' for Rosenborg, Emil Konradsen Ceide 13' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha 77' for Rosenborg, Iver Fossum 88' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 2.56–0.56.