11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Dijon vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result

Dijon
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Dijon 3-2 Laval.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Dijon, 28% draw, 27% Laval — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dijon at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dijon97%Draw3%Laval0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Samy Chouchane
3'
⚽Ange Lagoassist: Tyris Dong
31'
34'
⚽Aboubakary Kanteassist: Ethan Clavreul
Ylan Aka
45'
🔁Ylan Akaout: Moussa Faty
45+2'
🔁Paul Bellonout: Jordan Marié
45'
🔁Brandon Nsimba Ndeziout: H. Vargas Ríos
63'
🔁Tyris Dongout: Júlio Tavares
63'
68'
🔁Aboubakary Kanteout: Yanis Court
68'
🔁Sam Sannaout: Corentin Fatou
73'
⚽Ethan Clavreulassist: Corentin Fatou
76'
🔁Alessio Beaudouinout: C. Gourichy
76'
🔁Ethan Clavreulout: Julien Maggiotti
78'
Mamadou Samassa
⚽Júlio Tavares (pen)
79'
Adel Lembezat
82'
H. Vargas Ríos
85'
🔁Adel Lembezatout: W. Diouf
85'
87'
🔁Jules Gaudinout: Joseph Samb

Match stats — Dijon vs Laval

40%Possession60%
9Shots20
3On target7
3Corners7

Line-ups

Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 7B. HamadaD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 42Y. AkaD
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 21Samy Olivier ChouchaneM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 90A. LagoF
  • 9T. DongF
Substitutes
  • 4M. BarretoM
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 71Enzo KetterleG
  • 14J. MariéM
  • 22T. MeynadierD
  • 29A. NtamackF
  • 20H. Vargas-RíosM
  • 11Júlio TavaresF
Coach: B. Ridira
Laval 4-3-1-2
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 18A. LôD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 21Alessio BeaudouinM
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 20E. ClavreulM
  • 28A. KantéF
  • 31M. HoudayerF
Substitutes
  • 29M. SidibeM
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 17C. FatouF
  • 7C. GourichyM
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 33S. MellierM
  • 35Joseph SambD
Coach: David Vignes

Form going into Dijon vs Laval

Dijon

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Boulogne4 September 2026
  • L2-3Saint Etienne31 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
  • L0-1PAU14 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Montpellier8 August 2026

Laval

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2RED Star FC 934 September 2026
  • L0-3Grenoble28 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Metz22 August 2026
  • W2-1Nantes14 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Rodez8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Dijon did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Dijon conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dijon scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Laval conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Laval failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Laval scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Dijon103341718-112
18Laval101361321-86

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dijon vs Laval

  • 31 January 2023Laval 1–0 DijonLigue 2
  • 26 December 2022Dijon 5–0 LavalLigue 2
  • 19 February 2016Laval 2–2 DijonLigue 2
  • 26 September 2015Dijon 2–0 LavalLigue 2
  • 16 January 2015Laval 1–0 DijonLigue 2
  • 26 August 2014Laval 1–0 DijonCoupe de la Ligue

Leading scorers: Dijon and Laval

Dijon

GoalsAssists

  • Júlio Tavares41
  • Samy Olivier Chouchane30

Laval

GoalsAssists

  • M. Houdayer30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dijon beat Laval 3–2. The model had made a win for Dijon its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Samy Chouchane 3' for Dijon, Ange Lago 31' for Dijon, Aboubakary Kante 34' for Laval, Ethan Clavreul 73' for Laval, Júlio Tavares (penalty) 79' for Dijon.

How the call on Dijon v Laval has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Dijon's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Dijon win45%▼ −3
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. Laval win27%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.