Dijon vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Dijon 3-2 Laval.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Dijon, 28% draw, 27% Laval — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dijon at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dijon vs Laval
Line-ups
- 16P. DelecroixG
- 7B. HamadaD
- 23L. LacroixD
- 5Q. BernardD
- 42Y. AkaD
- 8P. BellonM
- 21Samy Olivier ChouchaneM
- 17A. LembezatM
- 18B. NdeziM
- 90A. LagoF
- 9T. DongF
- 4M. BarretoM
- 6W. DioufD
- 31M. FatyD
- 71Enzo KetterleG
- 14J. MariéM
- 22T. MeynadierD
- 29A. NtamackF
- 20H. Vargas-RíosM
- 11Júlio TavaresF
- 30M. SamassaG
- 23E. MoutonD
- 18A. LôD
- 3W. BiandaD
- 22J. GaudinD
- 6S. SannaM
- 21Alessio BeaudouinM
- 14C. MandoukiM
- 20E. ClavreulM
- 28A. KantéF
- 31M. HoudayerF
- 29M. SidibeM
- 24S. BaneD
- 32Y. CourtM
- 17C. FatouF
- 7C. GourichyM
- 1M. HautboisG
- 5J. MaggiottiM
- 33S. MellierM
- 35Joseph SambD
Form going into Dijon vs Laval
Dijon
- D1-1away to Boulogne4 September 2026
- L2-3Saint Etienne31 August 2026
- D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
- L0-1PAU14 August 2026
Laval
- L1-2RED Star FC 934 September 2026
- L0-3Grenoble28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Metz22 August 2026
- W2-1Nantes14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dijon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dijon vs Laval
- 31 January 2023Laval 1–0 DijonLigue 2
- 26 December 2022Dijon 5–0 LavalLigue 2
- 19 February 2016Laval 2–2 DijonLigue 2
- 26 September 2015Dijon 2–0 LavalLigue 2
- 16 January 2015Laval 1–0 DijonLigue 2
- 26 August 2014Laval 1–0 DijonCoupe de la Ligue
Leading scorers: Dijon and Laval
Dijon
- Samy Olivier Chouchane3 goals
Laval
- E. Clavreul2 goals3 assists
- M. Houdayer2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.