23 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Eyüpspor 0-1 Gaziantep FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Eyüpspor, 26% draw, 28% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Eyüpspor at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eyüpspor0%Draw6%Gaziantep FK94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Myenty Abena
60'
⚽D. Sorescu
63'
•Juninho Bacuna
64'
Juninho Bacuna
🔁A. Sabiriout: Y. Barasi
64'
🔁B. Boutobbaout: K. Michalak
64'
🔁A. Abdullahiout: H. Akman
65'
68'
🔁D. Camaraout: V. Gidado
🔁A. Yasarout: S. Giordano
74'
🔁L. Pintorout: M. Demir
74'
76'
🔁T. Stewartout: F. Bavuk
88'
🔁K. Kozlowskiout: S. Hansen

Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

56%Possession44%
12Shots9
1On target2
4Corners2
0.4xG0.95

Goals against chances

Eyüpspor0 from 0.40 xGabout what the chances were worth
Gaziantep FK1 from 0.95 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor 4-4-1-1
  • 31H. MoldovanG
  • 7T. UlvanD
  • 5J. El YamiqD
  • 33Z. JulesD
  • 4A. YasarD
  • 98B. BoutobbaM
  • 88Massanga MatondoM
  • 15C. Raux YaoM
  • 11L. PintorM
  • 10A. SabiriF
  • 29A. AbdullahiF
Substitutes
  • 1E. BilginG
  • 21S. GiordanoD
  • 3A. YavuzD
  • 42B. K. SatliD
  • 44O. CeyhanD
  • 18H. Akman
  • 70M. DemirF
  • 9Y. BarasiF
  • 77K. MichalakF
Coach: Ozhan Pulat
Gaziantep FK 3-4-2-1
  • 25K. TobiaszG
  • 2L. PerezD
  • 14M. AbenaD
  • 6U. MelekeD
  • 18D. SorescuM
  • 7J. BacunaM
  • 44A. MaximM
  • 96F. StefanM
  • 10K. KozlowskiF
  • 3D. CamaraF
  • 9T. StewartF
Substitutes
  • 81C. AslanG
  • 23K. CalhanogluD
  • 77S. DesticiD
  • 4A. KizildagD
  • 8V. Gidado
  • 61O. OzcicekM
  • 19S. DursunF
  • 28H. DervisogluF
  • 22S. HansenF
Coach: Mirel Radoi

Form going into Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

Eyüpspor

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026

Gaziantep FK

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Eyüpspor111010330-273
16Gaziantep FK11227919-108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

  • 25 April 2026Eyüpspor 3–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 29 November 2025Gaziantep FK 1–2 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 3 March 2025Gaziantep FK 3–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 29 September 2024Eyüpspor 3–2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 23 July 2022Eyüpspor 1–0 Gaziantep FKFriendlies Clubs

The full Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK record →

The result against the call

Gaziantep FK won 1–0 at Eyüpspor. The model had leaned towards a win for Eyüpspor at 46% and given a win for Gaziantep FK 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: D. Sorescu 60' for Gaziantep FK. Sent off: Juninho Bacuna (Gaziantep FK) 64'. On expected goals it finished 0.40–0.95.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.