Eyüpspor
vs
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig prediction
The model makes it 49% Eyüpspor, 26% draw, 25% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Eyüpspor 1.63, Gaziantep FK 1.11.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK
- 25 April 2026Eyüpspor 3–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 29 November 2025Gaziantep FK 1–2 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 3 March 2025Gaziantep FK 3–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 29 September 2024Eyüpspor 3–2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 23 July 2022Eyüpspor 1–0 Gaziantep FKFriendlies Clubs
- 23 July 2022Gaziantep FK 0–1 EyüpsporFriendlies Clubs
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Eyüpspor carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.54 for Gaziantep FK. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.63 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.11 for Gaziantep FK. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eyüpspor rate 0.68 in attack and 1.17 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gaziantep FK rate 0.68 and 1.27.
That points to 52% for over two and a half goals and 55% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eyüpspor the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Eyüpspor against 1.11 for Gaziantep FK. Eyüpspor's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.17 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.27 for Gaziantep FK.