4 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Richards Bay vs Amazulu Premier Soccer League prediction & result

King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Richards Bay 1-2 Amazulu.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Richards Bay, 27% draw, 40% Amazulu — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Amazulu at 40% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Richards Bay0%Draw4%Amazulu96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nqaba Xulu
22'
Lindokuhle Zikhali
45+2'
52'
⚽T. Ngwenya
🔁S. Barnsout: L. Mahala
61'
70'
🔁L. Mhlongoout: G. Moralo
73'
🔁M. Mbanjwaout: H. Ekstein
Mehluleli Ndelu
74'
⚽M. Mthembu (pen)
80'
82'
⚽N. Radebeassist: A. Maqokola
🔁S. Mntungwaout: S. Zulu
86'
🔁L. Khumaloout: P. Sithebe
86'
86'
🔁A. Maqokolaout: K. Phillips
86'
🔁T. Ngwenyaout: M. Shumah

Match stats — Richards Bay vs Amazulu

57%Possession43%
15Shots16
3On target2
7Corners7
1.73xG1.68

Goals against chances

Richards Bay1 from 1.73 xGless than the chances were worth
Amazulu2 from 1.68 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Richards Bay
  • 1I. OtienoG
  • 22L. MabuyaD
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 15MthamosiD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 3S. Mntungwa
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 8L. ZikhaliM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 27N. XuluF
  • 30S. BarnsF
Substitutes
  • 32S. MtshaliG
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 53S. Zulu
  • 31O. Mbambo
  • 21P. Sithebe
  • 33W. NgemaM
  • 14L. Mahala
  • 26W. NgidiF
Amazulu 3-4-3
  • 1O. MzimelaG
  • 12T. FieliesD
  • 42S. MthethwaD
  • 4R. HanamubD
  • 14N. RadebeM
  • 6S. HlangabezaM
  • 50L. MhlongoM
  • 17L. BernM
  • 23T. NgwenyaF
  • 2A. MaqokolaF
  • 15M. MbanjwaF
Substitutes
  • 24W. KouassiG
  • 3O. MdakaD
  • 33K. PhillipsD
  • 5K. AllanD
  • 27H. EksteinM
  • 38G. MoraloM
  • 19S. ZikhaliM
  • 45M. ShumahF
  • 11A. SitholeM
Coach: Arthur Zwane

Form going into Richards Bay vs Amazulu

Richards Bay

  • D2-2Kaizer Chiefs26 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Durban City15 August 2026

Amazulu

  • L2-5away to Mamelodi Sundowns26 August 2026
  • W2-0Siwelele15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Richards Bay7034916-73
3Amazulu7511107+316

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Richards Bay and Amazulu

Richards Bay

  • N. Xulu5 goals

Amazulu

  • T. Ngwenya8 goals1 assist

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.