Richards Bay
vs
Amazulu
Premier Soccer League prediction
The model makes it 10% Richards Bay, 14% draw, 76% Amazulu — fair odds of 10.00, 7.14 and 1.32. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (8%).
Expected goals: Richards Bay 1.09, Amazulu 2.99.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Richards Bay
- D1-1away to Durban City15 August 2026
- D1-1away to Chippa United11 August 2026
- L1-2Polokwane City2 August 2026
Amazulu
- W2-0Siwelele15 August 2026
- D1-1Orlando Pirates12 August 2026
- W1-0away to Stellenbosch1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Richards Bay
No league goals recorded yet.
Amazulu
- T. Ngwenya2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Richards Bay carry a model rating of 6.06 against 6.7 for Amazulu. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Richards Bay L-D-D; Amazulu W-D-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.09 goals for Richards Bay and 2.99 for Amazulu. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Richards Bay rate 0.57 in attack and 2.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Amazulu rate 0.73 and 1.01.
That points to 77% for over two and a half goals and 63% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 480 correct results out of 1000 settled predictions (48%), with 91 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Amazulu the highest probability at 76%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.09 expected goals for Richards Bay against 2.99 for Amazulu. Richards Bay's attack/defence rating is 0.57/2.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.01 for Amazulu.