Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Al-Ahli Jeddah, 29% draw, 25% Al Riyadh — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Ahli Jeddah at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
- L0-3away to Al-Hilal1 September 2026
- L1-3away to Al Kholood29 August 2026
Al Riyadh
- W1-0NEOM28 August 2026
- D3-3away to Al Shabab25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
- I. Toney10 goals1 assists
- Trincão3 goals2 assists
Al Riyadh
- T. Okou3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.