Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Milford FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Mamelodi Sundowns, 21% draw, 17% Milford FC — fair odds of 1.61, 4.76 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mamelodi Sundowns at 62% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30R. WilliamsG
- 28Z. MdunyelwaD
- 42M. KhozaD
- 20G. KekanaD
- 6A. ModibaD
- 11M. AllendeM
- 15B. J. AubaasM
- 46B. MokoenaM
- 17T. MatthewsM
- 29A. van WykM
- 13I. RaynersF
- 31R. GossG
- 40M. MvalaD
- 27T. MorenaD
- 23F. BasadienD
- 33C. MailulaF
- 38S. Ndlovu
- 18T. ZwaneM
- 4T. MokoenaM
- 12B. LeonF
- 32S. HlezaG
- 23T. BhenguD
- 5V. MthabelaD
- 22O. CeleD
- 14S. MdluliD
- 55C. MthethwaM
- 75T. MbungaM
- 35T. MabenaM
- 38Y. NomandelaM
- 2B. SigomosheM
- 21S. NdlabiF
- 16L. NkosiG
- 20S. SiyayaM
- 18K. KhwanyaD
- 26A. ChabanhuD
- 50K. RadebeM
- 6S. JoyiM
- 11M. ZikakayoM
- 17J. GxakosheM
- 90S. MasilelaF
Form going into Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC
Mamelodi Sundowns
- W5-2Amazulu26 August 2026
- W2-0Marumo Gallants19 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kaizer Chiefs15 August 2026
- W3-2away to TS Galaxy11 August 2026
Milford FC
- D0-0away to Polokwane City26 August 2026
What these results say
- Mamelodi Sundowns went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Mamelodi Sundowns scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Mamelodi Sundowns won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 23 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Mamelodi Sundowns and Milford FC
Mamelodi Sundowns
GoalsAssists
- B. León31
- T. Matthews23
- C. Mailula20
Milford FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Zikakayo30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.