Remo vs Coritiba Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Remo 2-3 Coritiba.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Remo, 31% draw, 33% Coritiba — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Remo at 36% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Remo vs Coritiba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 6MarlonD
- 28Ze WelisonM
- 14L. PiccoM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Ze RicardoM
- 21A. GaleanoM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 97IvanG
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 27Ze IvaldoD
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 8PatrickM
- 26David BragaM
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 1Pedro MoriscoG
- 44Joao Pedro ChermontD
- 23Tiago CoserD
- 55JacyD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 50TissiM
- 19S. GomezM
- 7J. LavegaM
- 88Fernando SobralM
- 77Breno LopesM
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 13KeillerG
- 3MaiconD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 30KhensaneM
- 39GustavoM
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
- 28FabinhoF
Form going into Remo vs Coritiba
Remo
- L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
Coritiba
- W2-1Corinthians23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Remo vs Coritiba
- 15 March 2026Coritiba 1–0 RemoSerie A
- 23 August 2025Coritiba 0–0 RemoSerie B
- 22 April 2025Remo 1–0 CoritibaSerie B
- 4 October 2021Remo 0–0 CoritibaSerie B
- 2 July 2021Coritiba 2–1 RemoSerie B
Leading scorers: Remo and Coritiba
Remo
- Jája Silva7 goals1 assist
Coritiba
- Pedro Rocha8 goals1 assist
- Breno Lopes8 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.