30 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Pro League prediction & result

Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1 Al-Faisaly FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 25% draw, 21% Al-Faisaly FC — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Reteguiassist: M. Al Juwayr
5'
12'
⚽A. Seckassist: Andrei Girotto
16'
Mohammed Al-Shanqiti
⚽M. Abu Al Shamat
30'
51'
Alexandre Mendy
⚽M. Al Shanqiti (OG)
56'
58'
🔁A. Subaytout: Y. Barnawi
65'
Jaime Seoane
74'
🔁A. Al Shereafout: A. Al Mhemaid
74'
🔁T. Bongondaout: Y. Al Shammari
🔁C. Bonsu Baahout: T. Al Ammar
80'
🔁M. Reteguiout: M. Al Qahtani
80'
82'
🔁C. Bassogogout: A. Fallatah
82'
🔁J. Seoaneout: A. Ella
🔁M. Al Juwayrout: E. Houssa
90+1'

Match stats — Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC

57%Possession43%
17Shots5
9On target2
4Corners2
2.46xG0.71

Goals against chances

Al-Qadisiyah FC3 from 2.46 xGmore than the chances were worth
Al-Faisaly FC1 from 0.71 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-4-2-1
  • 1K. CasteelsG
  • 40I. MahnashiD
  • 6N. FernandezD
  • 17G. AlvarezD
  • 2M. Abu Al ShamatM
  • 14T. ReijndersM
  • 5J. WeiglM
  • 22C. Bonsu BaahM
  • 33J. QuinonesF
  • 10M. Al JuwayrF
  • 32M. ReteguiF
Substitutes
  • 50M. SanyorG
  • 28A. Al KassarG
  • 12Y. Al ShahraniD
  • 4J. ThakriD
  • 7T. Al AmmarM
  • 15M. Al QahtaniF
  • 90A. Al YuhaybiM
  • 27E. HoussaM
  • 9A. Al SalemF
Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Al-Faisaly FC 4-1-4-1
  • 1F. PachecoG
  • 87A. SubaytD
  • 4A. SeckD
  • 70M. JahfaliD
  • 50M. Al ShanqitiD
  • 5Andrei GirottoM
  • 10T. BongondaM
  • 20J. SeoaneM
  • 77A. Al ShereafM
  • 13C. BassogogM
  • 19A. MendyF
Substitutes
  • 26M. Al HasawiG
  • 99A. Al MhemaidD
  • 3K. Al HarbiD
  • 2Y. BarnawiD
  • 88S. HaddadD
  • 95A. FallatahM
  • 7Y. Al ShammariF
  • 11A. EllaF
Coach: Giovanni Solinas

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Al-Qadisiyah FC129123212+2028
14Al-Faisaly FC112451220-810

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC

Al-Qadisiyah FC

GoalsAssists

  • T. Reijnders83
  • M. Retegui72
  • J. Quiñones65

Al-Faisaly FC

GoalsAssists

  • Alexandre Mendy51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.