Real Betis vs Real Sociedad La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Real Sociedad.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Real Betis, 16% draw, 17% Real Sociedad — fair odds of 1.49, 6.25 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 67%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro VallesG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 6Facundo BernalM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 7AntonyM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 9Cucho HernándezF
- 22IscoM
- 33Pablo GarcíaF
- 18Nelson DeossaM
- 31Manu GonzálezG
- 12Angel OrtizD
- 16Valentín GómezD
- 23Junior FirpoD
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 14Iker LosadaF
- 1Álex RemiroG
- 2Jon AramburuD
- 5Igor ZubeldiaD
- 31Jon MartinD
- 17Sergio GómezD
- 21Yangel HerreraM
- 18Carlos SolerM
- 14Takefusa KuboM
- 24Luka SučićM
- 7Ander BarrenetxeaM
- 9Orri ÓskarssonF
- 29Alex MarchalF
- 10Mikel OyarzabalF
- 3Aihen MuñozD
- 8Beñat TurrientesM
- 23Arsen ZakharyanM
- 13Unai MarreroG
- 34Luken BeitiaD
- 16Jon PachecoD
- 22Mikel GotiM
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
- 9 May 2026Real Sociedad 2–2 Real BetisLa Liga
- 19 September 2025Real Betis 3–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 16 February 2025Real Betis 3–0 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 1 December 2024Real Sociedad 2–0 Real BetisLa Liga
- 19 May 2024Real Betis 0–2 Real SociedadLa Liga
Leading scorers: Real Betis and Real Sociedad
Real Betis
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Real Sociedad
GoalsAssists
- L. Sučić40
- O. Óskarsson40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0. The model had made a win for Real Betis its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Rodrigo Riquelme 63' for Real Betis. On expected goals it finished 1.06–1.40.