10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga prediction & result

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
Full time6 – 0

Final score: RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% RB Leipzig, 22% draw, 24% Eintracht Frankfurt — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

RB Leipzig at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

RB Leipzig99%Draw1%Eintracht Frankfurt0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ezechiel Banzuziassist: Neil El Aynaoui
1'
⚽Christopher Nkunkuassist: Antonio Nusa
5'
Neil El Aynaoui
27'
⚽Christopher Nkunku
41'
⚽Christopher Nkunku
44'
45'
🔁Robin Kochout: Elias Niklas Baum
45'
🔁Keita Kosugiout: Younes Ebnoutalib
⚽Antonio Nusaassist: Ezechiel Banzuzi
54'
🔁Neil El Aynaouiout: Nicolas Seiwald
58'
🔁Ridle Bakuout: Benjamin Henrichs
58'
62'
Elias Niklas Baum
🔁Christopher Nkunkuout: Tidiam Gomis
64'
🔁Antonio Nusaout: Max Finkgräfe
64'
73'
🔁Noel Asekoout: Fares Chaibi
🔁Ezechiel Banzuziout: Rocco Reitz
73'
73'
🔁Ritsu Doanout: Love Arrhov
76'
Ansgar Knauff
84'
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
⚽Tidiam Gomisassist: Benjamin Henrichs
89'

Match stats — RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

46%Possession54%
20Shots18
10On target9
3Corners6
4.1xG1.52

Goals against chances

RB Leipzig6 from 4.10 xGmore than the chances were worth
Eintracht Frankfurt0 from 1.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1
  • 26M. VandevoordtG
  • 17R. BakuD
  • 4W. OrbánD
  • 23C. LukebaD
  • 22D. RaumD
  • 6E. BanzuziM
  • 21N. El AynaouiM
  • 30A. MaksimovićM
  • 28C. NkunkuM
  • 7A. NusaM
  • 40RômuloF
Substitutes
  • 3M. EstèveD
  • 35Max FinkgräfeD
  • 27T. GomisF
  • 10B. GrudaF
  • 39B. HenrichsD
  • 16L. KlostermannD
  • 1Ø. NylandG
  • 20R. ReitzM
  • 13N. SeiwaldM
Coach: M. Demichelis
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-2-1
  • 1N. AtuboluG
  • 34N. CollinsD
  • 4R. KochD
  • 3L. BrassierD
  • 7A. KnauffM
  • 25R. OnyedikaM
  • 15N. Aséko NkiliM
  • 26K. KosugiM
  • 20R. DōanM
  • 42C. UzunM
  • 9J. BurkardtF
Substitutes
  • 5OtávioD
  • 40Kauã SantosG
  • 6O. HøjlundM
  • 27M. GötzeM
  • 11Y. EbnoutalibF
  • 22T. ChandlerD
  • 8F. ChaïbiM
  • 2Elias BaumD
  • 31L. ArrhovM
Coach: A. Hütter

Form going into RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Bayer Leverkusen20 September 2026
  • W5-0Hamburger SV13 September 2026
  • L1-4away to Como10 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Werder Bremen5 September 2026
  • W3-0Borussia Mönchengladbach29 August 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2SC Freiburg19 September 2026
  • W3-1away to FSV Mainz 0512 September 2026
  • L1-4FC Augsburg6 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Union Berlin29 August 2026

What these results say

  • RB Leipzig scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for RB Leipzig had three goals or more.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Eintracht Frankfurt had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4RB Leipzig96032713+1418
10Eintracht Frankfurt93331520-512

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

  • 18 April 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
  • 6 December 2025RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • 26 April 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
  • 15 December 2024RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • 4 December 2024RB Leipzig 3–0 Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal

The full RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt record →

Leading scorers: RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig

GoalsAssists

  • C. Nkunku52
  • Rômulo50
  • A. Nusa47

Eintracht Frankfurt

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Ebnoutalib61
  • J. Burkardt51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

RB Leipzig beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0. The model had made a win for RB Leipzig its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ezechiel Banzuzi 1' for RB Leipzig, Christopher Nkunku 5' for RB Leipzig, Christopher Nkunku 41' for RB Leipzig, Christopher Nkunku 44' for RB Leipzig, Antonio Nusa 54' for RB Leipzig, Tidiam Gomis 89' for RB Leipzig. On expected goals it finished 4.10–1.52.

How the call on RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 49% / 24% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 54% / 22% / 24%: the biggest move is RB Leipzig's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. RB Leipzig win54%▲ +5
  2. Draw22%▼ −2
  3. Eintracht Frankfurt win24%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.