Rangers vs Motherwell Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rangers, 27% draw, 34% Motherwell — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rangers at 39% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 2,416 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs Motherwell
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 6D. NeilM
- 52Findlay CurtisM
- 10Minsu KimM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 7L. ShanklandF
- 17D. YokotaM
- 20R. NaderiF
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 19K. KelsyF
- 31L. KellyG
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 14C. DevlinM
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 7T. SparrowD
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 71J. HodgeM
- 8L. FadingerM
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 11A. LowryM
- 19I. SaidM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 77W. VogtF
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 63D. LevittM
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 13J. KangaM
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
- 2S. O'DonnellD
Form going into Rangers vs Motherwell
Rangers
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
Motherwell
- W3-0Dundee United2 September 2026
- D3-3away to St Mirren30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rangers vs Motherwell
- 5 September 2026Rangers 1–0 MotherwellPremiership
- 26 April 2026Rangers 2–3 MotherwellPremiership
- 11 February 2026Motherwell 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 27 December 2025Rangers 1–0 MotherwellPremiership
- 2 August 2025Motherwell 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 1 March 2025Rangers 1–2 MotherwellPremiership
Leading scorers: Rangers and Motherwell
Rangers
- L. Shankland3 goals
- R. Naderi2 goals1 assist
Motherwell
- A. Lowry2 goals1 assist
- Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise1 goal2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.