9 August 2026, 12:45 UTC

Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Raków Częstochowa 2-3 Zaglebie Lubin.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Raków Częstochowa, 23% draw, 28% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Raków Częstochowa at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Raków Częstochowa0%Draw4%Zaglebie Lubin96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Vladyslav Kocherginout: Karol Struski
16'
Fran Tudor
25'
⚽Marko Bulat
45+2'
45'
🔁Kamil Nowogonskiout: Jakub·Sypek
•Mahir Emreli
58'
61'
🔁David Čolinaout: Damian Michalski
62'
🔁Igor Orlikowskiout: Sebastian Kerk
62'
🔁Filip Szymczakout: Michalis Kosidis
70'
⚽Michał Nalepaassist: Roman Yakuba
🔁Karol Struskiout: Adam Basse
78'
81'
🔁Damian Dąbrowskiout: Jakub Kolan
Fran Tudor
84'
87'
⚽Marcel Regula
🔁Jean Carlosout: Marko Perović
88'
🔁Tomasz Pienkoout: Adin molnar
88'
Marko Bulat
89'
90'
Filip Kocaba
Stratos Svarnas
90+1'
Tomasz Kaczmarek
90+2'
•Marko Perović
90+3'
90+6'
Zlatan Alomerović
⚽Patryk Makuch (pen)
90+6'
90+8'
Michał Nalepa
90+11'
Marcel Regula
90+13'
⚽Damian Michalskiassist: Roman Yakuba
Oskar Repka
90+15'

Match stats — Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

66%Possession34%
21Shots9
7On target4
5Corners2

Line-ups

Raków Częstochowa 3-5-2
  • 1K. TrelowskiG
  • 7F. TudorD
  • 25B. RacovițanD
  • 4S. SvarnasD
  • 20Jean CarlosM
  • 6O. RepkaM
  • 10V. KocherginM
  • 5M. BulatM
  • 21T. PieńkoM
  • 9P. MakuchF
  • 11M. EmreliF
Substitutes
  • 39I. BrusbergF
  • 99Adam BasseF
  • 77D. DebohiD
  • 17J. JendrykaM
  • 71T. KarićG
  • 44B. MirčetićM
  • 88A. MolnarM
  • 22A. OjoM
  • 36M. PerovićM
Coach: T. Kaczmarek
Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-3
  • 33Z. AlomerovićG
  • 5A. ŁawniczakD
  • 25M. NalepaD
  • 3R. YakubaD
  • 31I. OrlikowskiM
  • 39F. KocabaM
  • 8D. DąbrowskiM
  • 6D. ČolinaM
  • 44M. RegułaF
  • 18F. SzymczakF
  • 71K. NowogońskiF
Substitutes
  • 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  • 37S. KerkM
  • 26J. KolanM
  • 9M. KosidisF
  • 77P. KosmalskiM
  • 4D. MichalskiD
  • 88M. MlinarićF
  • 99C. PopielecM
  • 7J. SypekM
Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Form going into Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

Raków Częstochowa

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Hammarby FF6 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Slask Wroclaw2 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Valletta FC30 July 2026
  • L1-2Wisla Plock26 July 2026
  • W3-1Valletta FC23 July 2026

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
  • W2-0Piast Gliwice27 July 2026

What these results say

  • Raków Częstochowa scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Raków Częstochowa had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Raków Częstochowa1440102331-812
6Zaglebie Lubin146531817+123

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

  • 14 February 2026Zaglebie Lubin 0–0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 14 December 2025Raków Częstochowa 0–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • 31 March 2025Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 22 September 2024Raków Częstochowa 5–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • 4 May 2024Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin

Raków Częstochowa

GoalsAssists

  • P. Makuch81

Zaglebie Lubin

GoalsAssists

  • M. Reguła50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.