Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Arges Pitesti, 28% draw, 32% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arges Pitesti at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Line-ups
- 1Cătălin StratonG
- 2Costinel TofanD
- 6Mario TudoseD
- 3Leard SadriuD
- 23Florin BorțaD
- 22Vadim RațăM
- 27Rober SierraM
- 11Yanis PîrvuM
- 99Robert MoldoveanuF
- 17Ricardo MatosF
- 80Xian EmmersF
- 34Cătălin CăbuzG
- 15Guilherme GaruttiD
- 16Ionuț RădescuM
- 26Dorinel OanceaD
- 92Taylor LuvamboD
- 31Matteo ȘerbanG
- 4Evagoras AntoniouD
- 96Silviu BalaureM
- 20Patrick DulceaM
- 38Lukáš ZimaG
- 66Tiberiu CăpuşăD
- 4Paul PappD
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 2Andres DumitrescuD
- 29Kilian LudewigM
- 10Alejandro BranM
- 26Liviu ArgeșanuM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 98Robert JerdeaF
- 19Léo TeixeiraF
- 18Calal HuseinovD
- 22Mark ȚuțuD
- 17Dan N'LunduluF
- 80Mario IonițăM
- 30Rareș LeescuD
- 1Ștefan RădulescuG
- 12Ștefan GeorgescuG
- 11Ioan ToleaM
- 36Alin BoțoganM
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
- L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
- W1-0Dinamo Bucuresti19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 24 July 2026Arges Pitesti 1–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 13 February 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 2–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 4 October 2025Arges Pitesti 0–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 19 May 2023Arges Pitesti 3–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 11 March 2023Arges Pitesti 0–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 24 October 2022Petrolul Ploiesti 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
- R. Moldoveanu3 goals
Petrolul Ploiesti
- B. Malula3 goals
- D. Nlundulu3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.