Racing Club
vs
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Racing Club 1–0 Aldosivi
The model makes it 50% Racing Club, 28% draw, 22% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Racing Club 1.54, Aldosivi 0.85.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Racing Club: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Racing Club are 13th on 11 points from 12 games; Aldosivi are 14th on 8 points from 12 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Racing Club have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Belgrano Cordoba.
- Aldosivi have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Sarmiento Junin.
- Last 6 meetings: Racing Club 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 19 April 2026, ended Aldosivi 1–1 Racing Club.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Racing Club vs Aldosivi
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Racing Club at 50% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Racing Club vs Aldosivi
Racing Club
- L0-2Belgrano Cordoba11 October 2026
- W2-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto5 October 2026
- W3-1Sarmiento Junin19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Huracan14 September 2026
- L1-2Atletico Tucuman7 September 2026
Aldosivi
- L1-3Sarmiento Junin9 October 2026
- L0-1away to Huracan4 October 2026
- W1-0Atletico Tucuman21 September 2026
- L3-4away to Independiente Rivadavia12 September 2026
- W3-1Banfield5 September 2026
What these results say
- Racing Club conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Racing Club scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Racing Club had three goals or more.
- Aldosivi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Aldosivi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Racing Club
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 46% today
Aldosivi
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 90% today
From our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Aldosivi
- 19 April 2026Aldosivi 1–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 October 2025Racing Club 1–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 April 2025Aldosivi 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 June 2022Racing Club 5–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 May 2022Racing Club 5–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 July 2021Aldosivi 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Racing Club carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.44 for Aldosivi. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.54 goals for Racing Club and 0.85 for Aldosivi. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Racing Club rate 0.80 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Aldosivi rate 0.68 and 1.56.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Racing Club the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Racing Club against 0.85 for Aldosivi. Racing Club's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.56 for Aldosivi.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Racing Club at home · Aldosivi away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Racing Club 29, Aldosivi 28.
Racing Club score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Aldosivi have let in 9 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
Racing Club
- at Barracas Central8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 26%
Aldosivi
- vs River Plate8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 28%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.