Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
vs
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Aldosivi
The model makes it 32% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 33% draw, 35% Aldosivi — fair odds of 3.13, 3.03 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.89, Aldosivi 0.98.
Both teams to score: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 29%, under 2.5: 71%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Aldosivi are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Key facts
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are bottom on 6 points from 10 games; Aldosivi are 13th on 8 points from 10 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Belgrano Cordoba.
- Aldosivi have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Atletico Tucuman.
- Last 3 meetings: all 3 drawn; the most recent, 4 April 2026, ended Aldosivi 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Aldosivi at 35% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 2,372 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba15 September 2026
- L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
- D0-0San Lorenzo21 August 2026
Aldosivi
- W1-0Atletico Tucuman21 September 2026
- L3-4away to Independiente Rivadavia12 September 2026
- W3-1Banfield5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors30 August 2026
- L1-3Union Santa Fe21 August 2026
What these results say
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Aldosivi scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Aldosivi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Aldosivi had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 13 | Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi
- 4 April 2026Aldosivi 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 August 2024Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–2 AldosiviPrimera Nacional
- 16 March 2024Aldosivi 1–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
The two sides
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto carry a model rating of 6.29 against 6.47 for Aldosivi. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.89 goals for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 0.98 for Aldosivi. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto rate 0.48 in attack and 1.51 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Aldosivi rate 0.71 and 1.51.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Aldosivi the highest probability at 35%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.89 expected goals for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto against 0.98 for Aldosivi. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.51 for Aldosivi.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home · Aldosivi away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 26, Aldosivi 26.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Aldosivi have let in 7 there.
Aldosivi score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- at Barracas Central25 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 20%
- vs Gimnasia La Plata1 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 27%
- at Rosario Central8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 17%
Aldosivi
- vs Belgrano Cordoba25 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 29%
- at Racing Club1 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 25%
- vs River Plate8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.