Deportivo Riestra
vs
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Deportivo Riestra 1–0 Talleres Cordoba
The model makes it 38% Deportivo Riestra, 35% draw, 27% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.63, 2.86 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Deportivo Riestra 0.94, Talleres Cordoba 0.72.
Both teams to score: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 23%, under 2.5: 77%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Key facts
- Deportivo Riestra are 12th on 11 points from 12 games; Talleres Cordoba are bottom on 9 points from 13 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A.
- Deportivo Riestra have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to San Lorenzo.
- Talleres Cordoba are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Boca Juniors.
- Last 5 meetings: Talleres Cordoba 2 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 19 April 2026, ended Talleres Cordoba 2–0 Deportivo Riestra.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Deportivo Riestra at 38% here. Across 3,865 settled matches (as of 17 October 2026), 3,012 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo11 October 2026
- D1-1Central Cordoba de Santiago5 October 2026
- D0-0away to Gimnasia Mendoza19 September 2026
- L0-3Lanus14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Platense4 September 2026
Talleres Cordoba
- L1-2away to Boca Juniors17 October 2026
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba4 October 2026
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
- W2-1Union Santa Fe12 September 2026
What these results say
- Deportivo Riestra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Deportivo Riestra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Deportivo Riestra had two goals or fewer.
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra and Talleres Cordoba have met 5 times in the records we hold, Talleres Cordoba has won 2 of them to Deportivo Riestra's 1, with 2 drawn.
The record
Talleres Cordoba won the last one 2–0 on 19 Apr 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Between them these 5 meetings produced 4 goals, an average of 0.80 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 19 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 2–0 Deportivo Riestra - 31 Aug 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 0–1 Deportivo Riestra - 21 Feb 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDeportivo Riestra 0–0 Talleres Cordoba - 2 Nov 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDeportivo Riestra 0–0 Talleres Cordoba - 7 Mar 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalDeportivo Riestra 0–1 Talleres Cordoba
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.57 | 1.11 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 0.70 | 1.33 |
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Deportivo Riestra carry a model rating of 6.54 against 6.53 for Talleres Cordoba. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.94 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 0.72 for Talleres Cordoba. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Deportivo Riestra rate 0.57 in attack and 1.11 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Talleres Cordoba rate 0.70 and 1.33.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,938 correct results out of 4,046 settled predictions (48%), with 405 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Deportivo Riestra the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Deportivo Riestra against 0.72 for Talleres Cordoba. Deportivo Riestra's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.33 for Talleres Cordoba.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Deportivo Riestra at home · Talleres Cordoba away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Deportivo Riestra 27, Talleres Cordoba 28.
Deportivo Riestra score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); Talleres Cordoba have let in 1 there.
Talleres Cordoba score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Deportivo Riestra have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
Deportivo Riestra
- at Independiente8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 23%
Talleres Cordoba
- vs Estudiantes La Plata8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.