Puskas Academy
vs
Nyiregyhaza
NB I prediction
Our model says: Puskas Academy 2–1 Nyiregyhaza
The model makes it 53% Puskas Academy, 25% draw, 22% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Puskas Academy 1.88, Nyiregyhaza 1.03.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Puskas Academy: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Puskas Academy are top on 18 points from 9 games; Nyiregyhaza are 11th on 8 points from 9 games — NB I.
- Puskas Academy have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Gyori ETO FC.
- Nyiregyhaza have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat away to Zalaegerszegi TE.
- Last 6 meetings: Puskas Academy 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 1 March 2026, ended Puskas Academy 1–2 Nyiregyhaza.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puskas Academy at 53% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza
Puskas Academy
- W1-0away to Gyori ETO FC11 October 2026
- W3-1Budapest Honved18 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
- L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
Nyiregyhaza
- L1-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE11 October 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Vasas4 September 2026
- D1-1Paks29 August 2026
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
What these results say
- Puskas Academy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Puskas Academy
Chance to finish in the top four · 66% today
Nyiregyhaza
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 70% today
From our NB I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza
- 1 March 2026Puskas Academy 1–2 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 9 November 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 3 August 2025Puskas Academy 3–2 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 29 March 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 25 February 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–0 Puskas AcademyMagyar Kupa
- 23 November 2024Nyiregyhaza 0–3 Puskas AcademyNB I
Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Nyiregyhaza
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh31
- P. Dárdai22
Nyiregyhaza
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Puskas Academy carry a model rating of 6.53 against 6.3 for Nyiregyhaza. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.88 goals for Puskas Academy and 1.03 for Nyiregyhaza. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Puskas Academy rate 0.63 in attack and 1.22 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Nyiregyhaza rate 0.60 and 1.79.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Puskas Academy a 14.2% chance of the title and Nyiregyhaza 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Puskas Academy the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Puskas Academy against 1.03 for Nyiregyhaza. Puskas Academy's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.79 for Nyiregyhaza.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Puskas Academy at home · Nyiregyhaza away
League matches only, NB I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Puskas Academy 9, Nyiregyhaza 9.
Puskas Academy score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Nyiregyhaza have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Puskas Academy
- vs Debreceni VSC31 Oct · NB Iwin 44%
- at Kisvarda FC7 Nov · NB Iwin 39%
- vs MTK Budapest21 Nov · NB Iwin 50%
- at Paks28 Nov · NB Iwin 33%
Nyiregyhaza
- at Ujpest31 Oct · NB Iwin 25%
- vs Gyori ETO FC7 Nov · NB Iwin 24%
- vs Debreceni VSC21 Nov · NB Iwin 33%
- at Kisvarda FC28 Nov · NB Iwin 30%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.