2 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas NB I prediction & result

Groupama Arena, Budapest
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 Vasas.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Ferencvarosi TC, 26% draw, 33% Vasas — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ferencvarosi TC6%Draw91%Vasas3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
S. Hidi
42'
J. Urblik
🔁E. Sevikyanout: K. Zachariassen
46'
🔁K. Lisztesout: Z. Gruber
46'
🔁A. Bagiout: I. Varga Zeteny
46'
52'
B. Pavkovics
🔁Deleout: L. Joseph
60'
M. Corbu
71'
71'
🔁M. Kovacsretiout: A. Rado
Cadu
78'
80'
🔁M. Kosztaout: B. Petho
80'
🔁M. Tothout: B. Barkoczi
🔁M. Corbuout: G. Kanichowsky
81'
86'
S. Hidi
86'
S. Hidi
90+1'
🔁out: B. Barath

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC
  • 90D. Dibusz
  • 14A. Osvath
  • 28T. Raemaekers
  • 5N. Zohore
  • 20Cadu
  • 70E. Sevikyan
  • 88P. Rommens
  • 17M. Corbu
  • 18A. Bagi
  • 76K. Lisztes
  • 11Dele
Substitutes
  • 1A. Varga
  • 16K. Zachariassen
  • 15D. Arzani
  • 32A. Cirkovic
  • 54O. Nagy
  • 75L. Joseph
  • 30Z. Gruber
  • 68I. Varga Zeteny
  • 47C. O'Dowda
Coach: Balazs Borbely
Vasas
  • 87M. Engedi
  • 4B. Pavkovics
  • 57P. Iyinbor
  • 17D. Csoka
  • 14A. Doktorics
  • 10M. Kovacsreti
  • 15S. Hidi
  • 16B. Rab
  • 77M. Toth
  • 9M. Koszta
  • 88J. Urblik
Substitutes
  • 26J. Uram
  • 36B. Barath
  • 29B. Petho
  • 6D. Sztojka
  • 68A. Girsik
  • 7A. Rado
  • 94B. Cseke
  • 18G. Palinkas
  • 8B. Z. Bano-Szabo
Coach: Gabor Eros

Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas

Ferencvarosi TC

  • D2-2Twente30 July 2026
  • L2-4away to Paks26 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Twente23 July 2026

Vasas

  • D2-2Gyori ETO FC26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Ferencvarosi TC6321107+311
3Vasas7322139+411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas

  • 2 August 2026Ferencvarosi TC 0–0 VasasNB I
  • 22 April 2023Vasas 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 28 January 2023Ferencvarosi TC 0–0 VasasNB I
  • 31 August 2022Vasas 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 9 February 2022Vasas 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCMagyar Kupa
  • 12 May 2018Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 VasasNB I

Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Vasas

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf2 goals1 assists

Vasas

  • M. Kovácsréti2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.