NB I · Regular Season - 2 · 2 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas

Groupama Arena, Budapest

The model makes it 41% Ferencvarosi TC, 26% draw, 33% Vasas — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Ferencvarosi TC 1.54, Vasas 1.34.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

59%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 8%

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas

  • 22 April 2023Vasas 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 28 January 2023Ferencvarosi TC 0–0 VasasNB I
  • 31 August 2022Vasas 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 9 February 2022Vasas 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCMagyar Kupa
  • 12 May 2018Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 VasasNB I
  • 9 December 2017Vasas 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Ferencvarosi TC the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC against 1.34 for Vasas. Ferencvarosi TC's attack/defence rating is 0.67/0.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.13/1.22 for Vasas.