Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ujpest 4-2 Debreceni VSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Ujpest, 30% draw, 47% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 4.35, 3.33 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Debreceni VSC at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC
Line-ups
- 1P. SzappanosG
- 38K. SarkadiD
- 3HeitorD
- 94P. StronatiD
- 36F. UjvaryD
- 10A. MaierM
- 88M. LjujicM
- 27A. Krajcsovics
- 14E. AmenyidoM
- 11K. HorvathM
- 39G. VlijterF
- 32D. DomboG
- 23D. BanaiG
- 45A. AdemiM
- 26M. TijaniF
- 18T. LacouxM
- 21T. ScharmerD
- 77N. FenyoM
- 2G. Bodnar
- 15M. MucsanyiM
- 12B. ErdelyiG
- 23G. TerczaD
- 4J. MejiasD
- 26A. LangD
- 72R. KellerD
- 75D. PataiM
- 6B. BoskovicM
- 19D. Kocsis
- 78C. Sain BalaszM
- 99F. Cibla
- 11A. Szendrei
- 1P. AndreevG
- 10B. DzsudzsakM
- 77M. SzecsiF
- 5B. BatikD
- 97C. DenesF
- 25S. BaldoniF
- 18S. KayeF
- 3A. GuerreroD
- 29E. KusnyirD
Form going into Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026
Debreceni VSC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Pyunik Yerevan30 July 2026
- L0-2Puskas Academy26 July 2026
- W1-0Pyunik Yerevan23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Debreceni VSC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC
- 16 May 2026Debreceni VSC 2–1 UjpestNB I
- 13 February 2026Ujpest 2–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 26 October 2025Debreceni VSC 5–2 UjpestNB I
- 13 April 2025Ujpest 2–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 8 December 2024Debreceni VSC 1–2 UjpestNB I
Leading scorers: Ujpest and Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko53
- E. Amenyido34
- G. Vlijter32
Debreceni VSC
GoalsAssists
- Á. Szendrei52
- B. Dzsudzsák41
- C. Denes23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ujpest beat Debreceni VSC 4–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Debreceni VSC at 47% and given a win for Ujpest 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Szendrei 11' for Debreceni VSC, E. Amenyido 24' for Ujpest, K. Horvath 45' for Ujpest, K. Horvath 61' for Ujpest, B. Dzsudzsak 89' for Debreceni VSC, A. Matko 90' for Ujpest.