2 August 2026, 13:45 UTC

Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result

Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Ujpest 4-2 Debreceni VSC.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Ujpest, 30% draw, 47% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 4.35, 3.33 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Debreceni VSC at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ujpest96%Draw4%Debreceni VSC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽A. Szendrei
⚽E. Amenyidoassist: G. Vlijter
24'
•Gleofilo Vlijter
27'
30'
Josua Mejías
⚽K. Horvathassist: E. Amenyido
45'
46'
🔁R. Kellerout: A. Guerrero
49'
Dávid Patai
54'
🔁C. Sain Balaszout: B. Dzsudzsak
54'
🔁G. Terczaout: E. Kusnyir
🔁A. Krajcsovicsout: A. Matko
55'
🔁G. Vlijterout: M. Mucsanyi
56'
⚽K. Horvathassist: E. Amenyido
61'
68'
Flórián Cibla
69'
🔁A. Szendreiout: S. Baldoni
🔁E. Amenyidoout: M. Tijani
70'
🔁M. Ljujicout: N. Fenyo
71'
🔁K. Sarkadiout: G. Bodnar
76'
77'
🔁D. Kocsisout: M. Szecsi
83'
Blaž Bošković
89'
⚽B. Dzsudzsak
Miron Mucsányi
90+2'
90+6'
Balázs Dzsudzsák
⚽A. Matkoassist: M. Tijani
90'

Match stats — Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC

43%Possession57%
18Shots16
8On target5
6Corners11

Line-ups

Ujpest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. SzappanosG
  • 38K. SarkadiD
  • 3HeitorD
  • 94P. StronatiD
  • 36F. UjvaryD
  • 10A. MaierM
  • 88M. LjujicM
  • 27A. Krajcsovics
  • 14E. AmenyidoM
  • 11K. HorvathM
  • 39G. VlijterF
Substitutes
  • 32D. DomboG
  • 23D. BanaiG
  • 45A. AdemiM
  • 26M. TijaniF
  • 18T. LacouxM
  • 21T. ScharmerD
  • 77N. FenyoM
  • 2G. Bodnar
  • 15M. MucsanyiM
Coach: Zoltan Szelesi
Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
  • 12B. ErdelyiG
  • 23G. TerczaD
  • 4J. MejiasD
  • 26A. LangD
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 75D. PataiM
  • 6B. BoskovicM
  • 19D. Kocsis
  • 78C. Sain BalaszM
  • 99F. Cibla
  • 11A. Szendrei
Substitutes
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 10B. DzsudzsakM
  • 77M. SzecsiF
  • 5B. BatikD
  • 97C. DenesF
  • 25S. BaldoniF
  • 18S. KayeF
  • 3A. GuerreroD
  • 29E. KusnyirD
Coach: Gert Remmel

Form going into Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC

Ujpest

  • L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026

Debreceni VSC

  • D0-0away to Pyunik Yerevan30 July 2026
  • L0-2Puskas Academy26 July 2026
  • W1-0Pyunik Yerevan23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Ujpest73221512+311
8Debreceni VSC72321011-19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC

  • 2 August 2026Ujpest 4–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 16 May 2026Debreceni VSC 2–1 UjpestNB I
  • 13 February 2026Ujpest 2–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 26 October 2025Debreceni VSC 5–2 UjpestNB I
  • 13 April 2025Ujpest 2–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 8 December 2024Debreceni VSC 1–2 UjpestNB I

Leading scorers: Ujpest and Debreceni VSC

Ujpest

  • A. Matko4 goals2 assists
  • E. Amenyido3 goals3 assists
  • G. Vlijter2 goals1 assists

Debreceni VSC

  • Á. Szendrei3 goals2 assists
  • B. Dzsudzsák2 goals
  • Adrián Guerrero2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.