PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% PSV Eindhoven, 15% draw, 9% Groningen — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
PSV Eindhoven at 76%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Matěj KovářG
- 8Sergiño DestD
- 6Ryan FlamingoD
- 4Armando ObispoD
- 17Mauro JúniorD
- 20Guus TilM
- 24Kodai SanoM
- 31Noah FernandezM
- 5Ivan PerišićF
- 9Ricardo PepiF
- 7Ruben van BommelF
- 10Paul WannerM
- 37Amir BouhamdiF
- 18Filip KostićM
- 27Dennis ManF
- 2Lutsharel GeertruidaD
- 41Khadim NgomG
- 1Nick OlijG
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 25Kiliann SildilliaD
- 1Etienne VaessenG
- 14Jorg SchreudersD
- 3Thijmen BlokzijlD
- 4Márk CsingerD
- 2Wouter PrinsD
- 8Tika de JongeM
- 18Tygo LandM
- 17David van der WerffM
- 26Thom van BergenM
- 24Pelle ClementM
- 9Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonF
- 5Marco RenteD
- 12Nikolas BrandisD
- 15Elvis Van der LaanD
- 11Jacob OndrejkaF
- 7Travis HernesM
- 13Lovro ŠtubljarG
- 31Rijk JanseG
- 42Jesper MosselaarD
- 44Jismerai DillemaM
Form going into PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Excelsior15 August 2026
- D2-2Fortuna Sittard8 August 2026
Groningen
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to ADO Den Haag16 August 2026
- W2-1Utrecht9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 15 | +25 | 26 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen
- 8 February 2026Groningen 1–2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- 23 August 2025PSV Eindhoven 4–2 GroningenEredivisie
- 5 April 2025Groningen 1–3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- 23 November 2024PSV Eindhoven 5–0 GroningenEredivisie
- 11 February 2023PSV Eindhoven 6–0 GroningenEredivisie
Leading scorers: PSV Eindhoven and Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
GoalsAssists
- S. Mijnans92
- G. Til71
Groningen
GoalsAssists
- B. Willumsson91
- T. van Bergen83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PSV Eindhoven beat Groningen 5–1. The model had made a win for PSV Eindhoven its most likely outcome, at 76%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: B. Willumsson 9' for Groningen, T. Blokzijl (own goal) 11' for PSV Eindhoven, I. Perisic 35' for PSV Eindhoven, R. Pepi (penalty) 45+3' for PSV Eindhoven, I. Perisic 53' for PSV Eindhoven, S. Dest 56' for PSV Eindhoven. On expected goals it finished 4.42–1.09.