GO Ahead Eagles
vs
ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie prediction
The model makes it 57% GO Ahead Eagles, 20% draw, 23% ADO Den Haag — fair odds of 1.75, 5.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: GO Ahead Eagles 2.33, ADO Den Haag 1.47.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
GO Ahead Eagles
- W4-1Willem II8 August 2026
ADO Den Haag
- L0-2away to AZ Alkmaar8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
- 9 February 2023ADO Den Haag 1–0 GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
- 11 February 2017GO Ahead Eagles 3–1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 6 August 2016ADO Den Haag 3–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 25 January 2015GO Ahead Eagles 1–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 20 September 2014ADO Den Haag 1–1 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 21 February 2014ADO Den Haag 3–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers
GO Ahead Eagles
- M. Meulensteen1 goals1 assists
- E. Flataker1 goals
- J. Dirksen1 goals
ADO Den Haag
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
GO Ahead Eagles carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.42 for ADO Den Haag. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): GO Ahead Eagles W; ADO Den Haag L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.33 goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.47 for ADO Den Haag. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
GO Ahead Eagles rate 0.71 in attack and 1.44 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; ADO Den Haag rate 0.73 and 1.74.
That points to 73% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives GO Ahead Eagles the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.33 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles against 1.47 for ADO Den Haag. GO Ahead Eagles's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.74 for ADO Den Haag.