Angers vs Lille Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Angers 0-2 Lille.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Angers, 23% draw, 62% Lille — fair odds of 6.67, 4.35 and 1.61.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lille at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Angers vs Lille
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Anthony LopesG
- 27Lilian RaolisoaD
- 4Ousmane CamaraD
- 21Jordan LefortD
- 3Jacques EkomiéD
- 8Branco Van den BoomenM
- 14Yassin BelkhdimM
- 18Jim AllevinahM
- 26Anthony BermontM
- 10Amine SbaiM
- 19Amine El OuazzaniF
- 9Prosper PeterF
- 7Mamadou Usman SimbakoliF
- 11Harouna DjibirinF
- 2Carlens ArcusD
- 36Bané DiattaM
- 16Melvin ZingaG
- 24Emmanuel BiumlaM
- 17Joseph Kalulu KyatengwaD
- 34Maël GernigonD
- 1Berke ÖzerG
- 22Tiago SantosD
- 3Nathan NgoyD
- 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
- 15Romain PerraudD
- 17Ngal'ayel MukauM
- 6Nabil BentalebM
- 8Ethan MbappéM
- 10Hakon Arnar HaraldssonM
- 19Başar ÖnalM
- 9Olivier GiroudF
- 27Félix CorreiaF
- 11Osame SahraouiF
- 28Gaëtan PerrinF
- 24Calvin VerdonkD
- 26Isaac CossierD
- 16Arnaud BodartG
- 2Loun SrdanovicD
- 20Noah EdjoumaF
- 35Soriba DiaouneF
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Angers vs Lille
- 22 February 2026Angers 0–1 LilleLigue 1
- 2 November 2025Lille 1–0 AngersLigue 1
- 27 April 2025Angers 0–2 LilleLigue 1
- 24 August 2024Lille 2–0 AngersLigue 1
- 8 April 2023Angers 1–0 LilleLigue 1
The result against the call
Lille won 2–0 at Angers. The model had made a win for Lille its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: O. Giroud 11' for Lille, T. Santos 31' for Lille. On expected goals it finished 1.99–1.24.