Bucheon FC 1995
vs
Gwangju FC
K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-0 Gwangju FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Bucheon FC 1995, 23% draw, 16% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.94, Gwangju FC 0.90.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Bucheon FC 1995
- W3-0away to Gangwon FC1 August 2026
- D1-1away to Incheon United26 July 2026
- L2-3FC Anyang22 July 2026
- L1-3FC Seoul19 July 2026
Gwangju FC
- L0-2away to Daejeon Citizen2 August 2026
- L1-2Jeju United FC26 July 2026
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC22 July 2026
- D1-1away to FC Anyang19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 47 | -36 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bucheon FC 1995 the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for Bucheon FC 1995 against 0.9 for Gwangju FC. Bucheon FC 1995's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.38/1.47 for Gwangju FC.