Gimcheon Sangmu FC
vs
FC Seoul
K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-0 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 29% draw, 28% FC Seoul — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.31, FC Seoul 1.01.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- W1-0away to Pohang Steelers1 August 2026
- W3-2Daejeon Citizen25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Gwangju FC22 July 2026
- L0-2away to Gangwon FC18 July 2026
FC Seoul
- D0-0away to Jeonbuk Motors1 August 2026
- L1-3Ulsan Hyundai FC26 July 2026
- W3-1Pohang Steelers22 July 2026
- W3-1away to Bucheon FC 199519 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 17 | +18 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Go Jae-Hyeon3 goals2 assists
FC Seoul
- Lee Seung-Mo3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Gimcheon Sangmu FC against 1.01 for FC Seoul. Gimcheon Sangmu FC's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.1 for FC Seoul.