Persepolis FC vs Sanat Naft Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Persepolis FC 3-1 Sanat Naft.
Before kick-off the model made it 72% Persepolis FC, 18% draw, 10% Sanat Naft — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Persepolis FC at 72% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 307 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.2%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Persepolis FC vs Sanat Naft
Persepolis FC
- W2-0ZOB Ahan7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Esteghlal FC2 September 2026
- W3-0Malavan29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Tractor Sazi24 August 2026
Sanat Naft
- L1-2Chadormalu SC12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Paykan6 September 2026
- D0-0Sepahan FC2 September 2026
- D0-0away to Mes Shahr-e Babak29 August 2026
What these results say
- Persepolis FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Persepolis FC had two goals or fewer.
- Sanat Naft did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Sanat Naft failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sanat Naft had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Persepolis FC vs Sanat Naft
- 9 October 2026Persepolis FC 3–1 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
- 18 April 2024Sanat Naft 0–3 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 2 November 2023Persepolis FC 2–2 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
- 8 February 2023Sanat Naft 1–2 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 31 August 2022Persepolis FC 2–0 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 March 2022Sanat Naft 2–0 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.