23 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

PAOK vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result

Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Full time4 – 0

Final score: PAOK 4-0 Levadiakos.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% PAOK, 18% draw, 21% Levadiakos — fair odds of 1.64, 5.56 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

PAOK at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

PAOK99%Draw1%Levadiakos0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Shoretireassist: A. Zivkovic
36'
⚽D. Pelkasassist: A. Zivkovic
41'
46'
🔁C. Papadopoulosout: K. Goumas
46'
🔁G. Nikasout: O. Ozegovic
🔁G. Taylorout: B. Santamaria
66'
🔁C. Ndiayeout: A. Mythou
66'
67'
🔁D. Emmanouilidisout: M. D. Cobnan
🔁D. Pelkasout: D. Chatsidis
71'
⚽A. Mythou
72'
🔁T. Louchetout: K. Thymianis
78'
🔁S. Shoretireout: Taison
78'
78'
🔁A. Urziout: A. Sut
78'
🔁P. Symelidisout: J. Bauza
⚽A. Zivkovic (pen)
89'

Match stats — PAOK vs Levadiakos

54%Possession46%
13Shots8
5On target1
3Corners1
2.23xG0.47

Goals against chances

PAOK4 from 2.23 xGmore than the chances were worth
Levadiakos0 from 0.47 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

PAOK 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PavlenkaG
  • 3J. KennyD
  • 6A. ElustondoD
  • 5G. MichailidisD
  • 21A. BabaD
  • 32G. TaylorM
  • 23T. LouchetM
  • 14A. ZivkovicM
  • 10D. PelkasM
  • 47S. ShoretireM
  • 27C. NdiayeF
Substitutes
  • 99A. TsiftsisG
  • 41D. MonastirlisG
  • 13D. GiannoulisD
  • 25K. ThymianisD
  • 18JogoD
  • 97D. BataoulasD
  • 4P. HatzidiakosD
  • 11TaisonF
  • 7B. SantamariaM
Coach: Alessio Lisci
Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
  • 55N. EliasiG
  • 2A. PanteaD
  • 24P. LiagasD
  • 37G. TsivelekidisD
  • 3P. VichosD
  • 8G. NikasM
  • 31P. SymelidisM
  • 74C. PapadopoulosM
  • 18I. KostiM
  • 11A. UrziM
  • 17D. EmmanouilidisF
Substitutes
  • 33L. AnackerG
  • 23G. KornezosD
  • 15A. SutM
  • 20K. Goumas
  • 7J. BauzaM
  • 77G. VrakasF
  • 66M. Ndiaye
  • 9O. OzegovicF
  • 14G. ManthatisM
Coach: Nikolaos Papadopoulos

Form going into PAOK vs Levadiakos

PAOK

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Brann20 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
  • L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
  • W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
  • W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026

Levadiakos

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

  • PAOK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • PAOK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4PAOK106131913+619
13Levadiakos10136413-96

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: PAOK vs Levadiakos

  • 15 March 2026PAOK 3–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 30 November 2025Levadiakos 2–3 PAOKSuper League 1
  • 17 September 2025Levadiakos 4–1 PAOKCup
  • 26 January 2025PAOK 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 6 October 2024Levadiakos 0–2 PAOKSuper League 1
  • 30 January 2023PAOK 3–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: PAOK and Levadiakos

PAOK

GoalsAssists

  • C. Ndiaye40
  • A. Živković35
  • D. Pelkas30

Levadiakos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

PAOK beat Levadiakos 4–0. The model had made a win for PAOK its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Shoretire 36' for PAOK, D. Pelkas 41' for PAOK, A. Mythou 72' for PAOK, A. Zivkovic (penalty) 89' for PAOK. On expected goals it finished 2.23–0.47.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.