25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Exploria Stadium, Orlando
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Orlando City SC 1-0 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Orlando City SC, 19% draw, 68% Nashville SC — fair odds of 7.69, 5.26 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nashville SC at 68% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tiago
20'
46'
🔁A. Muylout: A. Qasem
🔁Tiagoout: T. Spicer
53'
65'
🔁B. Acostaout: E. Tagseth
65'
🔁S. Mohammedout: J. Knight
🔁B. Rheinout: A. Gomez
70'
🔁D. Brekaloout: Iago Teodoro
70'
⚽T. Spicerassist: J. Ellis
72'
76'
🔁A. Najarout: D. Lovitz
🔁J. Ellisout: H. Sarajian
85'
🔁Luis Otavioout: W. Cartagena
85'
90+5'
🔁M. Corcoranout: W. Pacius

Match stats — Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

52%Possession48%
11Shots3
3On target1
2Corners3

Line-ups

Orlando City SC 4-4-2
  • 71Maxime CrépeauG
  • 24Griffin DorseyD
  • 4David BrekaloD
  • 6Robin JanssonD
  • 44Bernardo RheinD
  • 77Iván AnguloM
  • 5Luis OtávioM
  • 8Braian OjedaM
  • 11Tiago SouzaM
  • 7Antoine GriezmannF
  • 22Justin EllisF
Substitutes
  • 12Javier OteroG
  • 3Adrián MarínD
  • 19Zakaria TaifiM
  • 57Iago SilvaD
  • 29Tahir Reid-BrownD
  • 65Gustavo CaraballoM
  • 23Harvey SarajianF
  • 16Wilder CartagenaM
  • 14Tyrese SpicerF
Coach: Oscar Pareja
Nashville SC 4-3-3
  • 99Brian SchwakeG
  • 22Josh BauerD
  • 3Maxwell WoledziD
  • 5Jack MaherD
  • 31Andy NajarD
  • 6Bryan AcostaM
  • 16Matthew CorcoranM
  • 19Alex MuylM
  • 14Shakur MohammedF
  • 9Sam SurridgeF
  • 10Hany MukhtarF
Substitutes
  • 13Xavier ValdezG
  • 4Jeisson PalaciosD
  • 23Jordan KnightD
  • 21Thomas WilliamsD
  • 2Daniel LovitzD
  • 12Charles-Emile BrunetM
  • 37Ahmed QasemF
  • 20Edvard TagsethM
  • 17Woobens PaciusF
Coach: Brian Callaghan

Form going into Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

Orlando City SC

  • W4-0away to San Jose Earthquakes23 July 2026

Nashville SC

  • W1-0CF Montreal23 July 2026
  • W1-0Atlanta United FC18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

  • 21 March 2026Nashville SC 5–0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 7 February 2026Orlando City SC 2–2 Nashville SCFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 September 2025Orlando City SC 3–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 August 2025Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2025Orlando City SC 2–3 Nashville SCUS Open Cup
  • 31 August 2024Orlando City SC 3–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and Nashville SC

Orlando City SC

  • M. Ojeda11 goals1 assists

Nashville SC

  • S. Surridge15 goals
  • H. Mukhtar10 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.