25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Exploria Stadium, Orlando
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Orlando City SC 1-0 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Orlando City SC, 19% draw, 68% Nashville SC — fair odds of 7.69, 5.26 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nashville SC at 68% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tiago
20'
46'
🔁A. Muylout: A. Qasem
🔁Tiagoout: T. Spicer
53'
65'
🔁B. Acostaout: E. Tagseth
65'
🔁S. Mohammedout: J. Knight
🔁B. Rheinout: A. Gomez
70'
🔁D. Brekaloout: Iago Teodoro
70'
⚽T. Spicerassist: J. Ellis
72'
76'
🔁A. Najarout: D. Lovitz
🔁J. Ellisout: H. Sarajian
85'
🔁Luis Otavioout: W. Cartagena
85'
90+5'
🔁M. Corcoranout: W. Pacius

Match stats — Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

52%Possession48%
11Shots3
3On target1
2Corners3

Line-ups

Orlando City SC 4-4-2
  • 71Maxime CrépeauG
  • 24Griffin DorseyD
  • 4David BrekaloD
  • 6Robin JanssonD
  • 44Bernardo RheinD
  • 77Iván AnguloM
  • 5Luis OtávioM
  • 8Braian OjedaM
  • 11Tiago SouzaM
  • 7Antoine GriezmannF
  • 22Justin EllisF
Substitutes
  • 12Javier OteroG
  • 3Adrián MarínD
  • 19Zakaria TaifiM
  • 57Iago SilvaD
  • 29Tahir Reid-BrownD
  • 65Gustavo CaraballoM
  • 23Harvey SarajianF
  • 16Wilder CartagenaM
  • 14Tyrese SpicerF
Coach: Oscar Pareja
Nashville SC 4-3-3
  • 99Brian SchwakeG
  • 22Josh BauerD
  • 3Maxwell WoledziD
  • 5Jack MaherD
  • 31Andy NajarD
  • 6Bryan AcostaM
  • 16Matthew CorcoranM
  • 19Alex MuylM
  • 14Shakur MohammedF
  • 9Sam SurridgeF
  • 10Hany MukhtarF
Substitutes
  • 13Xavier ValdezG
  • 4Jeisson PalaciosD
  • 23Jordan KnightD
  • 21Thomas WilliamsD
  • 2Daniel LovitzD
  • 12Charles-Emile BrunetM
  • 37Ahmed QasemF
  • 20Edvard TagsethM
  • 17Woobens PaciusF
Coach: Brian Callaghan

Form going into Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

Orlando City SC

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0away to San Jose Earthquakes23 July 2026

Nashville SC

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0CF Montreal23 July 2026
  • W1-0Atlanta United FC18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Orlando City SC32127136274-1243
1Nashville SC3221836623+4371

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

  • 21 March 2026Nashville SC 5–0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 7 February 2026Orlando City SC 2–2 Nashville SCFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 September 2025Orlando City SC 3–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 August 2025Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2025Orlando City SC 2–3 Nashville SCUS Open Cup
  • 31 August 2024Orlando City SC 3–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and Nashville SC

Orlando City SC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ojeda164
  • A. Griezmann147

Nashville SC

GoalsAssists

  • S. Surridge181
  • H. Mukhtar167

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Orlando City SC beat Nashville SC 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Nashville SC at 68% and given a win for Orlando City SC 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goal: T. Spicer 72' for Orlando City SC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.