CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% CF Montreal, 21% draw, 40% Inter Miami — fair odds of 2.56, 4.76 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Miami at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Sebastian BrezaG
- 27Dawid BugajD
- 24Efraín MoralesD
- 4Brayan VeraD
- 13Luca PetrassoD
- 8Matthew LongstaffM
- 6Samuel PietteM
- 22Victor LoturiM
- 18Hennadii SynchukF
- 9Prince OwusuF
- 14Daniel RiosF
- 7Daniel PereiraM
- 23Noah StreitM
- 21Fabian HerbersF
- 5Brandan CraigD
- 29Olger EscobarF
- 41Samsy KeitaG
- 2Jalen NealD
- 26Ivan LosenkoM
- 34Rocco Ríos NovoG
- 4Facundo MuraD
- 17Ian FrayD
- 16MicaelD
- 3Sergio ReguilónD
- 42Yannick BrightM
- 5CasemiroM
- 8Telasco SegoviaM
- 24Mateo SilvettiM
- 19Germán BerterameF
- 9Luis SuárezF
- 32Noah AllenD
- 59Preston PlambeckM
- 41David RuízM
- 97Dayne St. ClairG
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 70Daniel SumallaD
- 55Ian UrkidiM
- 52Diego ReyF
- 56Daniel PinterF
Form going into CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
CF Montreal
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026
Inter Miami
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Chicago Fire22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 25 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75 | 55 | +20 | 56 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
- 5 July 2025CF Montreal 1–4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 28 May 2025Inter Miami 4–2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 11 May 2024CF Montreal 2–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 10 March 2024Inter Miami 2–3 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 27 May 2023CF Montreal 1–0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- 26 February 2023Inter Miami 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: CF Montreal and Inter Miami
CF Montreal
GoalsAssists
- P. Owusu156
Inter Miami
GoalsAssists
- L. Messi2512
- L. Suárez156
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Miami won 1–0 at CF Montreal. The model had made a win for Inter Miami its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: L. Suarez (penalty) 81' for Inter Miami. On expected goals it finished 2.07–1.72.