Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Orlando City SC 1-1 FC Cincinnati.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Orlando City SC, 20% draw, 25% FC Cincinnati — fair odds of 1.82, 5.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Orlando City SC at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71M. CrepeauG
- 24G. DorseyD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 44B. RheinD
- 35J. GerbetM
- 5Luis OtavioM
- 77I. AnguloM
- 7A. GriezmannM
- 14T. SpicerM
- 22J. EllisF
- 12J. OteroG
- 57Iago TeodoroD
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 3A. Gomez
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 38I. HarunaM
- 87M. PasalicF
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 12M. RobinsonD
- 21M. MiazgaD
- 11S. GidiD
- 66E. EcheniqueM
- 20P. BuchaM
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 29B. J. Ramirez LeonM
- 16T. BarlowF
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 10EvanderF
- 13E. LouroG
- 4N. HagglundD
- 15T. HadebeD
- 2A. PowellD
- 24K. SmithD
- 27T. AnungaM
- 99A. JabbariF
- 14K. FletcherF
- 17K. MbomaF
Form going into Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
- W1-0Nashville SC25 July 2026
- W4-0away to San Jose Earthquakes23 July 2026
FC Cincinnati
All competitions we cover
- W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Columbus Crew25 July 2026
- W4-3Vancouver Whitecaps22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
- 23 May 2026FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 11 February 2026Orlando City SC 3–2 FC CincinnatiFriendlies Clubs
- 28 September 2025FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 28 June 2025Orlando City SC 1–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2024FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 4 May 2024Orlando City SC 0–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
GoalsAssists
- M. Ojeda164
- A. Griezmann147
FC Cincinnati
GoalsAssists
- K. Denkey173
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Orlando City SC at 55% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.96–1.35.