Charlotte vs Columbus Crew Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Charlotte 3-1 Columbus Crew.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Charlotte, 28% draw, 32% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Charlotte at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 14N. ByrneD
- 22H. KesslerD
- 3T. ReamD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 16P. BielM
- 13B. BronicoM
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 11L. AbadaM
- 9I. ToklomatiF
- 21T. MillerG
- 4A. PrivettD
- 44M. AgyemangD
- 35W. ClearyD
- 28D. DianiM
- 37R. AlokoF
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 25T. SmallsF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinF
- 28P. SchulteG
- 11B. LennonD
- 12C. RuvalcabaD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 46C. AdamsF
- 8D. GazdagF
- 1N. HagenG
- 4R. CamachoD
- 2A. HerreraD
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 10B. MendezM
- 20A. GomesM
- 14A. SejdicM
- 23M. FarsiD
- 77J. MartinezF
Form going into Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
Charlotte
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Chicago Fire2 August 2026
- W2-0away to New York Red Bulls25 July 2026
- D2-2Atlanta United FC23 July 2026
Columbus Crew
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
- W2-1FC Cincinnati25 July 2026
- L1-2New York City FC22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
- 24 May 2025Charlotte 3–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 3 May 2025Columbus Crew 4–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- 17 July 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2024Charlotte 2–0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 3 June 2023Columbus Crew 4–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- 22 April 2023Charlotte 1–0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Charlotte and Columbus Crew
Charlotte
GoalsAssists
- I. Toklomati Giorno155
Columbus Crew
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charlotte beat Columbus Crew 3–1. The model had made a win for Charlotte its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Bronico 1' for Charlotte, L. Abada (penalty) 9' for Charlotte, C. Adams 41' for Columbus Crew, P. Biel 73' for Charlotte. On expected goals it finished 1.91–1.42.