Olimpija Ljubljana
vs
Radomlje
1. SNL prediction
Our model says: Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0 Radomlje
The model makes it 66% Olimpija Ljubljana, 20% draw, 14% Radomlje — fair odds of 1.52, 5.00 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).
Expected goals: Olimpija Ljubljana 2.50, Radomlje 0.90.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Olimpija Ljubljana are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Olimpija Ljubljana's rating is built from 48 Slovenian PrvaLiga matches and Radomlje's from 48, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th on 23 points from 15 games; Radomlje are bottom on 8 points from 14 games — 1. SNL.
- Olimpija Ljubljana are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Nafta.
- Radomlje have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Celje.
- Last 6 meetings: Olimpija Ljubljana 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 29 August 2026, ended Radomlje 0–0 Olimpija Ljubljana.
More Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Olimpija Ljubljana vs Radomlje
Has the model earned this number?
Olimpija Ljubljana at 66%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Olimpija Ljubljana vs Radomlje
Olimpija Ljubljana
1. SNL
- D1-1away to Nafta6 November 2026
- W1-0away to Maribor31 October 2026
- D1-1Celje28 October 2026
- W1-0away to Aluminij16 October 2026
- D3-3Mura10 October 2026
Radomlje
1. SNL
- L1-2Celje8 November 2026
- L0-5away to Aluminij31 October 2026
- D1-1Mura27 October 2026
- D2-2away to Bravo17 October 2026
- D3-3Koper10 October 2026
What these results say
- Olimpija Ljubljana went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Olimpija Ljubljana scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Olimpija Ljubljana had two goals or fewer.
- Radomlje did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Radomlje conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radomlje scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 23 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Olimpija Ljubljana
Chance to finish in the top four · 71% today
Radomlje
Chance to finish in the bottom one · 66% today
From our 1. SNL season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Olimpija Ljubljana vs Radomlje
- 29 August 2026Radomlje 0–0 Olimpija Ljubljana1. SNL
- 17 May 2026Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 Radomlje1. SNL
- 14 March 2026Radomlje 1–2 Olimpija Ljubljana1. SNL
- 29 November 2025Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 Radomlje1. SNL
- 13 September 2025Radomlje 3–2 Olimpija Ljubljana1. SNL
- 17 May 2025Olimpija Ljubljana 5–0 Radomlje1. SNL
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Olimpija Ljubljana a 6.3% chance of the title and Radomlje 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Olimpija Ljubljana the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.50 expected goals for Olimpija Ljubljana against 0.90 for Radomlje. Olimpija Ljubljana's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/2.4 for Radomlje.
How the model reaches 66% for Olimpija Ljubljana to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Olimpija Ljubljana to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Olimpija Ljubljana's ratings add 8 points and Radomlje's ratings add 13 points, which lands on the published 66%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- Olimpija Ljubljana's ratings53%+8
- Radomlje's ratings66%+13
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Olimpija Ljubljana at home · Radomlje away
League matches only, 1. SNL, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. SNL matches this season: Olimpija Ljubljana 15, Radomlje 14.
Radomlje score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Olimpija Ljubljana have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Olimpija Ljubljana
- at Brinje-Grosuplje28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 45%
- vs Koper5 Dec · 1. SNLwin 38%
- vs Bravo30 Jan · 1. SNLwin 48%
- at Mura6 Feb · 1. SNLwin 44%
- vs Aluminij10 Feb · 1. SNLwin 50%
Radomlje
- vs Nafta28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 38%
- at Celje2 Dec · 1. SNLwin 9%
- at Maribor5 Dec · 1. SNLwin 15%
- vs Brinje-Grosuplje30 Jan · 1. SNLwin 45%
- at Koper6 Feb · 1. SNLwin 10%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.