Mura
vs
Bravo
1. SNL prediction
Our model says: Mura 0–1 Bravo
The model makes it 32% Mura, 29% draw, 39% Bravo — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Mura 1.17, Bravo 1.37.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to Bravo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Mura's rating is built from 49 Slovenian PrvaLiga matches and Bravo's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Mura are 9th on 14 points from 15 games; Bravo are 5th on 23 points from 15 games — 1. SNL.
- Mura are unbeaten in their last 5 games (0 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Koper.
- Bravo have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Maribor.
- Last 6 meetings: Bravo 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 29 August 2026, ended Bravo 2–0 Mura.
More Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Mura vs Bravo
Has the model earned this number?
Bravo at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Mura vs Bravo
Mura
1. SNL
- D1-1away to Koper7 November 2026
- D0-0Brinje-Grosuplje1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Radomlje27 October 2026
- D0-0Nafta17 October 2026
- D3-3away to Olimpija Ljubljana10 October 2026
Bravo
1. SNL
- W2-1Maribor7 November 2026
- L1-2Koper2 November 2026
- D0-0away to Brinje-Grosuplje29 October 2026
- D2-2Radomlje17 October 2026
- L0-1away to Nafta11 October 2026
What these results say
- Mura went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Mura did not win any of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mura had two goals or fewer.
- Bravo failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bravo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mura | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
| 5 | Bravo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Mura
Chance to finish in the bottom one · 20% today
Bravo
Chance to finish in the top four · 42% today
From our 1. SNL season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Mura vs Bravo
- 29 August 2026Bravo 2–0 Mura1. SNL
- 11 April 2026Mura 1–2 Bravo1. SNL
- 3 February 2026Bravo 0–2 Mura1. SNL
- 4 October 2025Mura 1–1 Bravo1. SNL
- 26 July 2025Bravo 2–0 Mura1. SNL
- 28 April 2025Bravo 1–1 Mura1. SNL
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Mura a 0% chance of the title and Bravo 2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bravo the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for Mura against 1.37 for Bravo. Mura's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.47 for Bravo.
How the model reaches 39% for Bravo to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Bravo to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Mura's ratings add 5 points and Bravo's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Mura's ratings34%+5
- Bravo's ratings39%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Mura at home · Bravo away
League matches only, 1. SNL, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. SNL matches this season: Mura 15, Bravo 15.
Mura score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Bravo have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Mura
- vs Maribor28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 28%
- at Aluminij5 Dec · 1. SNLwin 21%
- at Celje30 Jan · 1. SNLwin 11%
- vs Olimpija Ljubljana6 Feb · 1. SNLwin 27%
- at Nafta10 Feb · 1. SNLwin 23%
Bravo
- vs Aluminij28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 46%
- at Celje5 Dec · 1. SNLwin 18%
- at Olimpija Ljubljana30 Jan · 1. SNLwin 24%
- vs Nafta6 Feb · 1. SNLwin 49%
- at Radomlje10 Feb · 1. SNLwin 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.