3 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Halmstad vs Sirius Allsvenskan prediction & result

Halmstad
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Halmstad 0-2 Sirius.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Halmstad, 23% draw, 56% Sirius — fair odds of 4.76, 4.35 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sirius at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Halmstad0%Draw1%Sirius99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽T. Anker
16'
⚽I. Bjerkebo (pen)
G. Friberg
50'
🔁M. Illaryout: H. Carneil
67'
🔁A. Damnjanovicout: M. Persson
68'
68'
🔁O. Adinduout: J. Persson
75'
🔁C. Nildenout: A. Wikman
🔁G. Fribergout: O. Kapsimalis
82'
89'
🔁V. Svenssonout: A. Ljungberg

Match stats — Halmstad vs Sirius

42%Possession58%
14Shots18
5On target8
2Corners10

Line-ups

Halmstad 4-4-2
  • 1T. RonningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 15G. FribergD
  • 11L. ArvidssonM
  • 8N. MaenpaaM
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 25A. DamnjanovicF
  • 9O. FarajF
Substitutes
  • 35A. WihedG
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 13V. JohanssonM
  • 21J. NilssonM
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 16E. TougjasD
  • 22O. KapsimalisF
  • 18M. PerssonF
  • 34H. AbergD
Coach: Stuart Baxter
Sirius 4-2-3-1
  • 34D. CelicG
  • 5H. CastegrenD
  • 2M. SoumahD
  • 4T. AnkerD
  • 22O. KrusnellD
  • 24V. SvenssonM
  • 6M. LindbergM
  • 25O. AdinduM
  • 21C. NildenM
  • 11I. BjerkeboM
  • 9R. UreF
Substitutes
  • 1I. DiawaraG
  • 15S. SandbergD
  • 18A. WikmanM
  • 20V. EkstromD
  • 7J. PerssonF
  • 36A. LjungbergF
  • 37R. KrugelM
  • 35E. EldD
  • 23F. NeatF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Form going into Halmstad vs Sirius

Halmstad

  • D1-1away to Gais26 July 2026
  • L0-2BK Hacken19 July 2026

Sirius

  • W4-1IFK Goteborg26 July 2026
  • W3-1away to IF Elfsborg19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Halmstad2125141439-2511
1Sirius2115335027+2348

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Sirius

  • 3 August 2026Halmstad 0–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 9 August 2025Halmstad 0–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 27 April 2025Sirius 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 19 October 2024Halmstad 3–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 1 April 2024Sirius 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 2 September 2023Halmstad 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Halmstad and Sirius

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Sirius

  • R. Ure15 goals2 assists
  • I. Bjerkebo13 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.