Halmstad
vs
Sirius
The model makes it 21% Halmstad, 23% draw, 56% Sirius — fair odds of 4.76, 4.35 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Halmstad 1.14, Sirius 1.96.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Sirius
- 9 August 2025Halmstad 0–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 27 April 2025Sirius 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 19 October 2024Halmstad 3–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 1 April 2024Sirius 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 2 September 2023Halmstad 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 21 May 2023Sirius 1–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sirius the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Halmstad against 1.96 for Sirius. Halmstad's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.57 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.26 for Sirius.