Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 2-0 Deportivo Riestra.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Newell's Old Boys, 28% draw, 46% Deportivo Riestra — fair odds of 3.85, 3.57 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Riestra at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30J. ReinattiG
- 24F. EscobarD
- 17L. GiannettiD
- 16L. CarrizoD
- 3M. LucianoD
- 19J. GomezM
- 5L. RegiardoM
- 7W. MazzanttiM
- 20F. GuchM
- 39T. RiosM
- 99I. RamirezF
- 21G. AriasG
- 6M. OrtegaD
- 25B. CabreraD
- 2I. GlavinovichD
- 15A. SonoraM
- 26R. HerreraM
- 8D. SoteloM
- 27L. GomezM
- 10V. AcunaM
- 1I. ArceG
- 15N. SansotreD
- 24F. MinoD
- 22C. PazD
- 2C. QuintanaD
- 5P. RamirezD
- 10B. SanchezM
- 8M. CelizM
- 14P. MonjeM
- 7A. AlonsoM
- 11A. DiazF
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 27J. GoitiaD
- 36M. BracamonteD
- 6I. GariglioD
- 13R. GalloD
- 16N. WatsonM
- 29A. GranerosF
- 35A. StringaF
- 17A. AlmadaM
Form going into Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
Newell's Old Boys
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia9 August 2026
- D2-2Boca Juniors2 August 2026
- L0-1away to Independiente31 July 2026
- W1-0Talleres Cordoba25 July 2026
Deportivo Riestra
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Estudiantes La Plata8 August 2026
- L0-1Barracas Central2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia29 July 2026
- W3-0Boca Juniors26 July 2026
What these results say
- Newell's Old Boys failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Newell's Old Boys scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Newell's Old Boys conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo Riestra scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newell's Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
- 16 February 2026Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 September 2024Deportivo Riestra 3–3 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 May 2024Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Newell's Old BoysCopa Argentina
The result against the call
Newell's Old Boys beat Deportivo Riestra 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo Riestra at 46% and given a win for Newell's Old Boys 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: F. Guch 67' for Newell's Old Boys, W. Mazzantti 85' for Newell's Old Boys. On expected goals it finished 0.37–0.60.