Nashville SC vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal.
Before kick-off the model made it 66% Nashville SC, 22% draw, 12% CF Montreal — fair odds of 1.52, 4.55 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nashville SC at 66% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99Brian SchwakeG
- 22Josh BauerD
- 4Jeisson PalaciosD
- 3Maxwell WoledziD
- 2Daniel LovitzD
- 14Shakur MohammedM
- 16Matthew CorcoranM
- 20Edvard TagsethM
- 10Hany MukhtarM
- 19Alex MuylM
- 9Sam SurridgeF
- 31Andy NajarD
- 37Ahmed QasemF
- 6Bryan AcostaM
- 5Jack MaherD
- 12Charles-Emile BrunetM
- 1Joe WillisG
- 21Thomas WilliamsD
- 23Jordan KnightD
- 17Woobens PaciusF
- 1Sebastian BrezaG
- 27Dawid BugajD
- 2Jalen NealD
- 4Brayan VeraD
- 13Luca PetrassoD
- 21Fabian HerbersM
- 8Matthew LongstaffM
- 22Victor LoturiM
- 18Hennadii SynchukF
- 9Prince OwusuF
- 23Noah StreitF
- 24Efraín MoralesD
- 14Daniel RiosF
- 29Olger EscobarF
- 25Frankie AmayaM
- 41Samsy KeitaG
- 5Brandan CraigD
- 6Samuel PietteM
- 17Dagur Dan ÞórhallssonD
- 26Ivan LosenkoM
Form going into Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
Nashville SC
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Atlanta United FC18 July 2026
CF Montreal
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66 | 23 | +43 | 71 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
- 4 October 2025CF Montreal 1–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2025Nashville SC 3–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 25 May 2024CF Montreal 0–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- 5 May 2024Nashville SC 4–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 21 June 2023CF Montreal 1–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Nashville SC and CF Montreal
Nashville SC
GoalsAssists
- S. Surridge181
- H. Mukhtar167
CF Montreal
GoalsAssists
- P. Owusu156
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nashville SC beat CF Montreal 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Nashville SC at 66%. The goal: S. Surridge (penalty) 68' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 1.70–0.71.