Mjallby AIF
vs
Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction
Our model says: Mjallby AIF 2–1 Inter Club d'Escaldes
The model makes it 42% Mjallby AIF, 28% draw, 30% Inter Club d'Escaldes — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Mjallby AIF 1.78, Inter Club d'Escaldes 1.32.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Mjallby AIF have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Gais.
- Inter Club d'Escaldes are unbeaten in their last 3 (2 won), most recently a 2-2 draw away to Drita.
All Conference League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mjallby AIF at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Mjallby AIF
- L0-3Gais20 September 2026
- D1-1away to AIK Stockholm16 September 2026
- D1-1away to BK Hacken11 September 2026
- L1-4IFK Goteborg7 September 2026
- L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- D2-2away to Drita20 August 2026
- W4-0away to Flora Tallinn13 August 2026
- W2-0Flora Tallinn6 August 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Inter Club d'Escaldes has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Allsvenskan · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes
Mjallby AIF
- J. Bergström9 goals
Inter Club d'Escaldes
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Mjallby AIF carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.36 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.78 goals for Mjallby AIF and 1.32 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Mjallby AIF rate 0.59 in attack and 1.69 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Inter Club d'Escaldes rate 0.65 and 1.75.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mjallby AIF the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Mjallby AIF against 1.32 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Mjallby AIF's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.75 for Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Mjallby AIF
- at Vasteras SK FK18 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 28%
- at FC Iberia 199922 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 29%
- vs Hammarby FF25 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 24%
- at Orgryte IS29 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 38%
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- vs Universitatea Craiova22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 26%
- at FK Crvena Zvezda5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 16%
- vs FC Copenhagen26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 24%
- at Getafe10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 18%
- vs Aarhus17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.