Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-4 IFK Goteborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Mjallby AIF, 28% draw, 34% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mjallby AIF at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg
Line-ups
- 1S. HansenG
- 25M. NielsenD
- 33T. MiettinenD
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 24T. PetterssonD
- 14Villiam GranathD
- 10J. KjærM
- 6M. EnggårdM
- 22J. GustavssonM
- 9A. YoussefM
- 18J. BergströmF
- 13R. WallinderG
- 3M. AgnarssonD
- 39R. LeanderssonM
- 7V. GustafsonM
- 26I. HoffmannD
- 29Olle LindbergM
- 4A. NorénD
- 2L. SvanbergD
- 27L. TidstrandM
- 12V. AnderssonG
- 18F. ErikssonD
- 5J. BagerD
- 6H. HermannssonD
- 22Noah TolfD
- 24O. ManssonM
- 15D. KruseM
- 14T. HeintzM
- 11N. ŽugeljF
- 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
- 8S. LarssonF
- 28I. SeiduD
- 21L. RadakovicM
- 9M. FengerF
- 26E. FasthM
- 25E. BishesariG
- 4K. AckermannM
- 30T. CoimbraF
- 20G. ErsoyD
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
- L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
- L0-4away to Djurgardens IF31 August 2026
- L0-3away to Red Bull Salzburg27 August 2026
- L0-1Red Bull Salzburg20 August 2026
- W4-3Sirius15 August 2026
IFK Goteborg
- W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 23 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg
- 7 September 2026Mjallby AIF 1–4 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 25 May 2026IFK Goteborg 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 20 October 2025IFK Goteborg 0–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 4 May 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 10 November 2024Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 21 May 2024IFK Goteborg 1–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
GoalsAssists
- J. Bergström90
IFK Goteborg
GoalsAssists
- S. Larsson72
- T. Heintz65
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.