Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 0-0 AIK Stockholm.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Malmo FF, 26% draw, 36% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Malmo FF at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
Line-ups
- 1R. OlsenG
- 17J. Stryger LarsenD
- 5A. ĐurićD
- 2S. GregersenD
- 25BusanelloD
- 7O. RosengrenM
- 37A. SkogmarM
- 47Theodor LundberghM
- 40K. BusuladžićF
- 32D. GuðjohnsenF
- 29S. HakšabanovićF
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 27J. DahlinG
- 6Y. KarabelyovM
- 4B. KurtulusD
- 15Mayckel LahdoF
- 28J. MilosavljeviÄM
- 44M. PålssonD
- 23N. Åstrand JohnD
- 42V. JeppssonM
- 15K. NordfeldtG
- 17M. ThychosenD
- 34W. OlofssonD
- 3H. MatthysD
- 5L. BergquistD
- 46Yannick GeigerM
- 8J. HoveM
- 18A. AliM
- 48A. KouameM
- 16Sixten GustafssonF
- 9L. CarlstrandF
- 49O. PukelisD
- 30K. JoelssonG
- 28L. JäretegM
- 20S. HausnerD
- 2E. EdhD
- 7A. MujanićM
- 47L. CamaraD
- 10L. AssadiM
- 42Muslim SultygovF
Form going into Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
- W1-0away to Sirius31 August 2026
AIK Stockholm
- W3-2Hammarby FF30 August 2026
- W3-1away to Djurgardens IF16 August 2026
- W4-3away to Orgryte IS8 August 2026
- L0-3Orgryte IS2 August 2026
- D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
What these results say
- AIK Stockholm conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for AIK Stockholm had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 33 | +5 | 36 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
- 7 September 2026Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 27 April 2026AIK Stockholm 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 22 May 2025Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 14 April 2025AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 15 September 2024AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 28 April 2024Malmo FF 5–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
GoalsAssists
- E. Botheim103
AIK Stockholm
GoalsAssists
- J. Hove82
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.