25 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest
Full time5 1

Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 5-1 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Dinamo Bucuresti, 23% draw, 47% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 3.33, 4.35 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Universitatea Craiova at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Soroassist: A. Pop
8'
A. Musiassist: D. Armstrong
29'
D. Irimia
32'
D. Armstrong
36'
37'
🔁R. Websterout: C. Mora
A. Musi
43'
45+6'
J. Badelj
46'
🔁M. Etimout: Heriberto Tavares
46'
🔁A. Mekvabishviliout: N. Bancu
50'
S. Nsimbaassist: N. Bancu
A. Popassist: D. Armstrong
59'
🔁A. Popout: O. Hintsa
64'
🔁D. Armstrongout: I. Tarba
65'
66'
🔁D. Mateiout: L. Basceanu
69'
🔁T. Balutaout: A. Cicaldau
C. Cirjan (pen)
76'
🔁D. Irimiaout: D. Benavides
80'
86'
N. Bancu
🔁R. Oprutout: R. Radu
87'
🔁C. Cirjanout: C. Mihai
88'
M. Pascualassist: A. Soro
90+2'

Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova

47%Possession53%
18Shots9
7On target5
8Corners1

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36Alaa BellaarouchG
  • 20David IrimiaD
  • 44Martín PascualD
  • 15Nikita StoinovD
  • 31Raul OpruțD
  • 77Danny ArmstrongM
  • 29Alberto SoroM
  • 90Andrei MărgineanM
  • 10Cătălin CîrjanM
  • 7Alexandru MusiF
  • 99Alexandru PopF
Substitutes
  • 18Oliver HintsaF
  • 23Ianis TarbăF
  • 22Darío BenavidesD
  • 19Răzvan RaduD
  • 21Cristian MihaiM
  • 73Alexandru RoșcaG
  • 66Ștefan OprișM
  • 30Matteo DuțuD
  • 98Alexandru IrimiaM
Coach: Nuno Campos
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 90Răzvan SavaG
  • 4Alexandru CrețuD
  • 24Nikola StevanovićD
  • 15Juraj BadeljD
  • 23Samuel TelesM
  • 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
  • 8Tudor BăluțăM
  • 31Ronaldo WebsterM
  • 30David MateiF
  • 7Steven NsimbaF
  • 12Monday EtimF
Substitutes
  • 17Carlos MoraF
  • 11Nicușor BancuD
  • 19Heriberto TavaresD
  • 29Luca BăsceanuM
  • 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
  • 1Alexandru MaximG
  • 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
  • 6Vladimir ScreciuM
  • 28Adrian RusD
Coach: Filipe Coelho

Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova

Dinamo Bucuresti

  • L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti19 July 2026

Universitatea Craiova

  • L0-1away to Levski Sofia22 July 2026
  • W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti9621197+1220
3Universitatea Craiova9522199+1017

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova

  • 25 July 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 3 May 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 23 April 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
  • 19 March 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 0–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 9 February 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 26 September 2025Universitatea Craiova 2–2 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and Universitatea Craiova

Dinamo Bucuresti

  • D. Armstrong4 goals7 assists
  • Alberto Soro3 goals2 assists
  • Martín Pascual3 goals

Universitatea Craiova

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.