9 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

MC Alger vs Témouchent Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: MC Alger 1-0 Témouchent.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% MC Alger, 25% draw, 17% Témouchent — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts MC Alger at 58% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Alger98%Draw2%Témouchent0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Mehdaoui
35'
46'
🔁A. Barkatout: M. Zaalouk
🔁Z. Naidjiout: B. A. Kohili
57'
🔁M. Mehdaouiout: M. Bangoura
57'
🔁S. Konateout: M. Zougrana
57'
66'
🔁A. Meddahout: S. A. Aissaoui
67'
🔁I. Saihiout: M. Itim
68'
M. Senhadji
🔁Z. Ferhatout: M. Boucherit
70'
75'
🔁B. Baoucheout: S. Safaga
⚽B. A. Kohili
77'
81'
🔁B. Frieferout: M. Toumi
🔁C. Boukholdaout: A. Satta
89'
A. Satta
90+1'
90+6'
S. A. Aissaoui

Form going into MC Alger vs Témouchent

MC Alger

  • W2-0MB Rouisset18 September 2026

Témouchent

  • W1-0JS Kabylie17 September 2026
  • L0-2away to MC Oran11 September 2026
  • D1-1CS Constantine5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4MC Alger321041+37
13Témouchent411224-24

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Alger vs Témouchent

  • 9 October 2026MC Alger 1–0 TémouchentLigue 1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.